KalshiSportsFinalizedResolved No

Cup Series: Kyle Larson wins

last trade · resolved 2026-09-20

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24h volume$0
Open interest$228.7K
Lifetime volume$279.9K

Odds history

Implied odds over timebid/askmidyesno100%50%0%Sep 20 06:16 UTCSep 22 03:39 UTC

How this market settles

Pays Yes when
If Kyle Larson finishes in first in the main race at the 2026 Bass Pro Shops Night Race originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
When
Closes 2026-09-20.
Read the full rules Kalshi publishes

If Kyle Larson finishes in first in the main race at the 2026 Bass Pro Shops Night Race originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Important information: NASCAR races will be paid out after the final race results have been posted by NASCAR. Determinations are not based on provisional results, we appreciate your patience. If Kyle Larson retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution

Resolved No on 2026-09-20.

What this bet really costs you

  • On $100 at 1¢ you pay $6.94 in fees on Kalshi

    0.07¢ per contract · 10000 contracts

  • On $100 at 1¢ you pay $5.94 in fees on Polymarket US

    0.06¢ per contract · 10000 contracts

Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.

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Polymarket moved 8¢ on US recession in 2026? in the last 60 minutes (12¢ → 20¢). Kalshi hasn't caught up — still sitting at 14¢.

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Data: Kalshi id KXNASCARRACE-BASPSN26-KYLA · ← All tracked markets