KalshiSportsActive

Frederic Schlossmann wins

65¢−186

last trade · closes 2026-10-05

Open on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)Compare across venues

24h volume$462.5K
Open interest$274.6K
Lifetime volume$467.1K

Odds history

Implied odds over timebid/askmid100%57%15%Sep 21 14:50 UTCSep 21 18:31 UTC

How this market settles

Pays Yes when
If Frederic Schlossmann wins the Schlossmann vs Liborio professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Setubal Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
When
Closes 2026-10-05.
Read the full rules Kalshi publishes

If Frederic Schlossmann wins the Schlossmann vs Liborio professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Setubal Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

The following market refers to the Schlossmann vs Liborio professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Setubal Round of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), all markets will resolve to $0.50. If a player withdraws or forfeits after a match has started, that player will resolve to No. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

What this bet really costs you

  • On $100 at 65¢ you pay $2.44 in fees on Kalshi

    1.59¢ per contract · 153 contracts

  • On $100 at 65¢ you pay $2.09 in fees on Polymarket US

    1.36¢ per contract · 153 contracts

Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.

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Polymarket moved 8¢ on US recession in 2026? in the last 60 minutes (12¢ → 20¢). Kalshi hasn't caught up — still sitting at 14¢.

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Data: Kalshi id KXITFMATCH-26SEP21SCHLIB-SCH · ← All tracked markets