KalshiOtherActive
Pandemic in 2026?
5¢+1900
Odds history
How this market settles
- Pays Yes when
- If any disease becomes a pandemic in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Who decides
- If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10:00 AM ET.
- When
- Closes 2027-01-01.
Read the full rules Kalshi publishes
If any disease becomes a pandemic in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
What this bet really costs you
On $100 at 5¢ you pay $6.65 in fees on Kalshi
0.33¢ per contract · 2000 contracts
On $100 at 5¢ you pay $5.70 in fees on Polymarket US
0.29¢ per contract · 2000 contracts
Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.
Free Telegram alerts. Example:
Polymarket moved 8¢ on US recession in 2026? in the last 60 minutes (12¢ → 20¢). Kalshi hasn't caught up — still sitting at 14¢.
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Data: Kalshi id KXNEWOUTBREAK-P-26 · ← All tracked markets