KalshiOtherFinalizedResolved Yes
Ryan Gandra wins
99¢
Odds history
How this market settles
- Pays Yes when
- If Ryan Gandra wins the Gandra vs Diaz professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- When
- Closes 2026-09-19.
Read the full rules Kalshi publishes
If Ryan Gandra wins the Gandra vs Diaz professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Gandra vs Diaz professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.
Resolution
Resolved Yes on 2026-09-19.
What this bet really costs you
On $100 at 99¢ you pay $0.07 in fees on Kalshi
0.07¢ per contract · 101 contracts
On $100 at 99¢ you pay $0.06 in fees on Polymarket US
0.06¢ per contract · 101 contracts
Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.
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Polymarket moved 8¢ on US recession in 2026? in the last 60 minutes (12¢ → 20¢). Kalshi hasn't caught up — still sitting at 14¢.
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Data: Kalshi id KXUFCFIGHT-26SEP19GANDIA-GAN · ← All tracked markets