KalshiOtherActive
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize?
2¢
Odds history
How this market settles
- Pays Yes when
- If Donald Trump wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- When
- Closes 2026-12-31.
Read the full rules Kalshi publishes
If Donald Trump wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Nobel Foundation. Any references to the Nobel Foundation or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Nobel Foundation and Kalshi.
What this bet really costs you
On $100 at 2¢ you pay $6.86 in fees on Kalshi
0.14¢ per contract · 5000 contracts
On $100 at 2¢ you pay $5.88 in fees on Polymarket US
0.12¢ per contract · 5000 contracts
Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.
Free Telegram alerts. Example:
Polymarket moved 8¢ on US recession in 2026? in the last 60 minutes (12¢ → 20¢). Kalshi hasn't caught up — still sitting at 14¢.
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Data: Kalshi id KXNOBELPEACE-26-DJT · ← All tracked markets