KalshiPoliticsActive
Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?
3.2¢+3025
Odds history
How this market settles
- Pays Yes when
- If the first new person to become White House Press Secretary after Issuance is Alina Habba, then the market resolves to Yes.
- When
- Closes 2029-01-21.
Read the full rules Kalshi publishes
If the first new person to become White House Press Secretary after Issuance is Alina Habba, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market resolves based on who first begins serving as White House Press Secretary, not who is nominated or announced for the role. Acting or interim service counts. If the person serving as White House Press Secretary at Issuance remains in the position through the expiration date, all markets referring to a person resolve to No, and “No new person” resolves to Yes.
What this bet really costs you
On $100 at 3¢ you pay $6.79 in fees on Kalshi
0.20¢ per contract · 3333 contracts
On $100 at 3¢ you pay $5.82 in fees on Polymarket US
0.17¢ per contract · 3333 contracts
Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.
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Polymarket moved 8¢ on US recession in 2026? in the last 60 minutes (12¢ → 20¢). Kalshi hasn't caught up — still sitting at 14¢.
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Data: Kalshi id KXNEXTPRESSEC-29JAN21-AHAB · ← All tracked markets