KalshiOtherActive
Will Callum Turner be the next James Bond?
46¢+117
Odds history
How this market settles
- Pays Yes when
- If Callum Turner is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- When
- Closes 2030-01-01.
Read the full rules Kalshi publishes
If Callum Turner is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr. No (1962); spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not included.
What this bet really costs you
On $100 at 46¢ you pay $3.78 in fees on Kalshi
1.74¢ per contract · 217 contracts
On $100 at 46¢ you pay $3.23 in fees on Polymarket US
1.49¢ per contract · 217 contracts
Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.
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Polymarket moved 8¢ on US recession in 2026? in the last 60 minutes (12¢ → 20¢). Kalshi hasn't caught up — still sitting at 14¢.
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Data: Kalshi id KXBOND-30-CAL · ← All tracked markets