KalshiSportsActive

Will Christopher Bell be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?

14¢+614

last trade · closes 2026-11-15

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24h volume$2.5K
Open interest$191.6K
Lifetime volume$295.5K

Odds history

Implied odds over timebid/askmidyesno23%15%6%Sep 20 06:16 UTCSep 22 03:39 UTC

How this market settles

Pays Yes when
If Christopher Bell wins the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series, then the market resolves to Yes.
When
Closes 2026-11-15.
Read the full rules Kalshi publishes

If Christopher Bell wins the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series, then the market resolves to Yes.

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What this bet really costs you

  • On $100 at 14¢ you pay $6.02 in fees on Kalshi

    0.84¢ per contract · 714 contracts

  • On $100 at 14¢ you pay $5.16 in fees on Polymarket US

    0.72¢ per contract · 714 contracts

Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.

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Polymarket moved 8¢ on US recession in 2026? in the last 60 minutes (12¢ → 20¢). Kalshi hasn't caught up — still sitting at 14¢.

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Data: Kalshi id KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-CBEL · ← All tracked markets