KalshiSportsActive

Will Cincinnati win the Pro Football AFC Championship?

12¢+733

last trade · closes 2027-02-22

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24h volume$28.6K
Open interest$505.6K
Lifetime volume$670.3K

Odds history

Implied odds over timebid/askmidyesno17%10%3%Sep 20 06:23 UTCSep 21 22:18 UTC

How this market settles

Pays Yes when
If Cincinnati wins the Pro Football AFC Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
When
Closes 2027-02-22.
Read the full rules Kalshi publishes

If Cincinnati wins the Pro Football AFC Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

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What this bet really costs you

  • On $100 at 12¢ you pay $6.16 in fees on Kalshi

    0.74¢ per contract · 833 contracts

  • On $100 at 12¢ you pay $5.28 in fees on Polymarket US

    0.63¢ per contract · 833 contracts

Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.

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Polymarket moved 8¢ on US recession in 2026? in the last 60 minutes (12¢ → 20¢). Kalshi hasn't caught up — still sitting at 14¢.

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Data: Kalshi id KXNFLAFCCHAMP-27-CIN · ← All tracked markets