KalshiPoliticsActive
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0.1¢
Odds history
How this market settles
- Pays Yes when
- If Romeu Zema has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- When
- Closes 2027-10-25.
Read the full rules Kalshi publishes
If Romeu Zema has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
What this bet really costs you
On $100 at 1¢ you pay $6.94 in fees on Kalshi
0.07¢ per contract · 10000 contracts
On $100 at 1¢ you pay $5.94 in fees on Polymarket US
0.06¢ per contract · 10000 contracts
Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.
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Polymarket moved 8¢ on US recession in 2026? in the last 60 minutes (12¢ → 20¢). Kalshi hasn't caught up — still sitting at 14¢.
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Data: Kalshi id KXBRPRES-26-RZEM · ← All tracked markets