KalshiPoliticsActive
Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?
18¢+456
Odds history
How this market settles
- Pays Yes when
- If the President of the United States has been impeached and convicted by the U.S. Senate before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- When
- Closes 2029-01-20.
Read the full rules Kalshi publishes
If the President of the United States has been impeached and convicted by the U.S. Senate before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
The President must be the sitting President as of the day. the Senate votes on conviction to be included in this market.
What this bet really costs you
On $100 at 18¢ you pay $5.74 in fees on Kalshi
1.03¢ per contract · 555 contracts
On $100 at 18¢ you pay $4.92 in fees on Polymarket US
0.89¢ per contract · 555 contracts
Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.
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Polymarket moved 8¢ on US recession in 2026? in the last 60 minutes (12¢ → 20¢). Kalshi hasn't caught up — still sitting at 14¢.
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Data: Kalshi id KXTRUMPREMOVE · ← All tracked markets