KalshiCultureActive
Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Picture at the Oscars?
4¢+2400
Odds history
How this market settles
- Pays Yes when
- If Wild Horse Nine has won Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
- When
- Closes 2027-12-31.
Read the full rules Kalshi publishes
If Wild Horse Nine has won Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.
What this bet really costs you
On $100 at 4¢ you pay $6.73 in fees on Kalshi
0.27¢ per contract · 2500 contracts
On $100 at 4¢ you pay $5.76 in fees on Polymarket US
0.23¢ per contract · 2500 contracts
Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.
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Polymarket moved 8¢ on US recession in 2026? in the last 60 minutes (12¢ → 20¢). Kalshi hasn't caught up — still sitting at 14¢.
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