KalshiOtherFinalized

BTC price up in next 15 mins?

0.1¢

last trade · closes 2026-09-25

Open on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)Compare across venues

24h volume$2.2M
Open interest$887.6K
Lifetime volume$2.2M

Quick answers

Where is "BTC price up in next 15 mins?" cheaper right now?
Kalshi last trade 0.1¢. No matched twin on another venue, so there is no cross-venue price to compare.
When does "BTC price up in next 15 mins?" settle?
Closes 2026-09-25. Pays Yes when: If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:45 AM EDT on Sep 25, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:30 AM EDT on September 25, 2026, then the market…

Odds history

Implied odds over timebid/askmid100%50%0%Sep 25 06:33 UTCSep 25 07:07 UTC

23 archived bid/ask quotes for "BTC price up in next 15 mins?" on Kalshi, 2026-09-25 to 2026-09-25.

How this market settles

Pays Yes when
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:45 AM EDT on Sep 25, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:30 AM EDT on September 25, 2026, then the market…
When
Closes 2026-09-25.
Read the full rules Kalshi publishes

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:45 AM EDT on Sep 25, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 2:30 AM EDT on September 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.

What this bet really costs you

  • On $100 at 1¢ you pay $6.93 in fees on Kalshi

    0.07¢ per contract · 10000 contracts

  • On $100 at 1¢ you pay $4.95 in fees on Polymarket US

    0.05¢ per contract · 10000 contracts

Polymarket rate read from the catalog for sports_fees_v3 (13,936 markets in a sample of 20,000 rows drawn from 11,637,244 in the archive). Kalshi's rate is its published general schedule; the PDF has been rate-limiting fetches, so it is documented rather than verified.

Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.

Free Telegram alerts. Example:

Polymarket moved 8¢ on US recession in 2026? in the last 60 minutes (12¢ → 20¢). Kalshi hasn't caught up — still sitting at 14¢.Get alerts (opens in a new tab)

Data: Kalshi id KXBTC15M-26SEP250245-45 · ← All tracked markets