KalshiEconomyFinalized
Gold price up in next 15 mins?
0.1¢
Odds history
How this market settles
- Pays Yes when
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Gold on Sep 23, 2026 at 3:30 AM EDT is at least the close price of the 1-minute Pyth GOLD candlestick at 3:15 AM EDT on September 23, 2026 USD/|| Unit ||, then the market resolves to Yes.
- When
- Closes 2026-09-23.
Read the full rules Kalshi publishes
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Gold on Sep 23, 2026 at 3:30 AM EDT is at least the close price of the 1-minute Pyth GOLD candlestick at 3:15 AM EDT on September 23, 2026 USD/|| Unit ||, then the market resolves to Yes.
The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.
What this bet really costs you
On $100 at 1¢ you pay $6.94 in fees on Kalshi
0.07¢ per contract · 10000 contracts
On $100 at 1¢ you pay $5.94 in fees on Polymarket US
0.06¢ per contract · 10000 contracts
Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.
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