PolymarketOtherOpen
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
77¢−335
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Odds history
How this market settles
hard deadline December 31, 2027
- Pays Yes when
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch.
- Who decides
- The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available.
- When
- Closes 2028-01-01.
Read the full rules Polymarket publishes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
What this bet really costs you
On $100 at 77¢ you pay $1.60 in fees on Kalshi
1.24¢ per contract · 129 contracts
On $100 at 77¢ you pay $1.37 in fees on Polymarket US
1.06¢ per contract · 129 contracts
Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.
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Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Data: Polymarket id 0x9c50945d1c32e7e8db53675b9703a5d7759e37708a21af39a1deff1a1df73d5e · ← All tracked markets