PolymarketOtherOpen
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
60¢−150
Open on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Compare across venues
Odds history
How this market settles
hard deadline December 31, 2027
- Pays Yes when
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch.
- Who decides
- The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available.
- When
- Closes 2028-01-01.
Read the full rules Polymarket publishes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
What this bet really costs you
On $100 at 60¢ you pay $2.79 in fees on Kalshi
1.68¢ per contract · 166 contracts
On $100 at 60¢ you pay $2.39 in fees on Polymarket US
1.44¢ per contract · 166 contracts
Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.
Free Telegram alerts. Example:
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Data: Polymarket id 0x44af70916025f6ee9183cbdb77bcea14ee54e5534b0820d2df7934d1cadeb167 · ← All tracked markets