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Spread: Packers (-4.5)
1¢
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Quick answers
- Where is "Spread: Packers (-4.5)" cheaper right now?
- Polymarket last trade 1¢. No matched twin on another venue, so there is no cross-venue price to compare.
- When does "Spread: Packers (-4.5)" settle?
- Closes 2026-09-25. Pays Yes when: In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 24 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Packers" if the Packers win the game by 5 or more points.
Odds history
196 archived bid/ask quotes for "Spread: Packers (-4.5)" on Polymarket, 2026-09-20 to 2026-09-25.
How this market settles
- Pays Yes when
- In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 24 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Packers" if the Packers win the game by 5 or more points.
- Who decides
- https://www.nfl.com/scores
- When
- Closes 2026-09-25.
Read the full rules Polymarket publishes
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 24 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Packers" if the Packers win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Falcons". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Falcons". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
What this bet really costs you
On $100 at 1¢ you pay $6.93 in fees on Kalshi
0.07¢ per contract · 10000 contracts
On $100 at 1¢ you pay $4.95 in fees on Polymarket US
0.05¢ per contract · 10000 contracts
Polymarket rate read from the catalog for sports_fees_v3 (13,936 markets in a sample of 20,000 rows drawn from 11,637,244 in the archive). Kalshi's rate is its published general schedule; the PDF has been rate-limiting fetches, so it is documented rather than verified.
Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.
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