KalshiSportsActive

USC wins

33¢+203

last trade · closes 2026-09-28

Open on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)Compare across venues

24h volume$5.8M
Open interest$4.9M
Lifetime volume$6.1M

Quick answers

Where is "USC wins" cheaper right now?
Kalshi last trade 33¢ (+203). No matched twin on another venue, so there is no cross-venue price to compare.
When does "USC wins" settle?
Closes 2026-09-28. Pays Yes when: If USC wins the Oregon vs USC college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Odds history

Implied odds over timebid/askmidyesno59%42%24%Sep 21 00:17 UTCSep 27 01:06 UTC

166 archived bid/ask quotes for "USC wins" on Kalshi, 2026-09-21 to 2026-09-27.

How this market settles

Pays Yes when
If USC wins the Oregon vs USC college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
When
Closes 2026-09-28.
Read the full rules Kalshi publishes

If USC wins the Oregon vs USC college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

What this bet really costs you

  • On $100 at 33¢ you pay $4.69 in fees on Kalshi

    1.55¢ per contract · 303 contracts

  • On $100 at 33¢ you pay $3.35 in fees on Polymarket US

    1.11¢ per contract · 303 contracts

Polymarket rate read from the catalog for sports_fees_v3 (12,420 markets in a sample of 20,000 rows drawn from 11,683,222 in the archive). Kalshi's rate is its published general schedule; the PDF has been rate-limiting fetches, so it is documented rather than verified.

Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.

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Polymarket moved 8¢ on US recession in 2026? in the last 60 minutes (12¢ → 20¢). Kalshi hasn't caught up — still sitting at 14¢.Get alerts (opens in a new tab)

Data: Kalshi id KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP26OREUSC-USC · ← All tracked markets