PolymarketOtherOpen
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
91¢−1011
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Odds history
How this market settles
hard deadline December 31, 2027
- Pays Yes when
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch.
- Who decides
- The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available.
- When
- Closes 2028-01-01.
Read the full rules Polymarket publishes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
What this bet really costs you
On $100 at 91¢ you pay $0.63 in fees on Kalshi
0.57¢ per contract · 109 contracts
On $100 at 91¢ you pay $0.54 in fees on Polymarket US
0.49¢ per contract · 109 contracts
Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.
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