KalshiPoliticsActive
Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election? Karen Bass
56¢−127
24h volume$28.3K
Open interest$6.1M
Lifetime volume$16.2M
Odds history
How this market settles
- Pays Yes when
- If Karen Bass wins the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- When
- Closes 2027-06-02.
Read the full rules Kalshi publishes
If Karen Bass wins the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election, then the market resolves to Yes.
What this bet really costs you
On $100 at 56¢ you pay $3.08 in fees on Kalshi
1.72¢ per contract · 178 contracts
On $100 at 56¢ you pay $2.63 in fees on Polymarket US
1.48¢ per contract · 178 contracts
Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.
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