KalshiPoliticsActive

Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election? Nithya Raman

43¢+133

last trade · closes 2027-06-02

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24h volume$29.8K

Open interest$5.8M

Lifetime volume$17.1M

Odds history

How this market settles

Pays Yes when: If Nithya Raman wins the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election, then the market resolves to Yes.
When: Closes 2027-06-02.

Read the full rules Kalshi publishes

If Nithya Raman wins the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election, then the market resolves to Yes.

What this bet really costs you

Stake ($)Contract price (¢)

On $100 at 43¢ you pay $3.99 in fees on Kalshi
1.72¢ per contract · 232 contracts
On $100 at 43¢ you pay $3.41 in fees on Polymarket US
1.47¢ per contract · 232 contracts

Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.

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Polymarket moved 8¢ on US recession in 2026? in the last 60 minutes (12¢ → 20¢). Kalshi hasn't caught up — still sitting at 14¢.

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Data: Kalshi id KXMAYORLA-26-NRAM · ← All tracked markets