KalshiOtherActive
Will a NYSE marketwide circuitbreaker happen before 2027?
6.1¢+1539
Odds history
No odds history archived for this market yet — the archive accrues continuously.
How this market settles
- Pays Yes when
- If any New York Stock Exchange marketwide circuit breaker is imposed after December 9, 2025 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- When
- Closes 2027-01-01.
Read the full rules Kalshi publishes
If any New York Stock Exchange marketwide circuit breaker is imposed after December 9, 2025 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
What this bet really costs you
On $100 at 6¢ you pay $6.58 in fees on Kalshi
0.39¢ per contract · 1666 contracts
On $100 at 6¢ you pay $5.64 in fees on Polymarket US
0.34¢ per contract · 1666 contracts
Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.
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