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Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

0.1¢

last trade · closes 2027-04-01

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24h volume$41.0K
Open interest$101.7K
Lifetime volume$753.5K

Odds history

Implied odds over timebid/askmid10.0%5.0%0.0%Sep 18 13:58 UTCSep 23 13:52 UTC

How this market settles

hard deadline March 31, 2027

Pays Yes when
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Who decides
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the…
When
Closes 2027-04-01.
Read the full rules Polymarket publishes

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

What this bet really costs you

  • On $100 at 1¢ you pay $6.94 in fees on Kalshi

    0.07¢ per contract · 10000 contracts

  • On $100 at 1¢ you pay $5.94 in fees on Polymarket US

    0.06¢ per contract · 10000 contracts

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Data: Polymarket id 0x73ea54d2bbd4a4bb22cc78f1ef9b8373c76e57fe2a4bf09784413002885f69f7 · ← All tracked markets