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Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
0.2¢
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Odds history
How this market settles
- Pays Yes when
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president.
- Who decides
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
- When
- Closes 2028-11-08.
Read the full rules Polymarket publishes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
What this bet really costs you
On $100 at 1¢ you pay $6.94 in fees on Kalshi
0.07¢ per contract · 10000 contracts
On $100 at 1¢ you pay $5.94 in fees on Polymarket US
0.06¢ per contract · 10000 contracts
Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.
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