KalshiOtherActive
Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?
2.9¢
Odds history
No odds history archived for this market yet — the archive accrues continuously.
How this market settles
- Pays Yes when
- If Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize diplomatic relations before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- When
- Closes 2027-01-01.
Read the full rules Kalshi publishes
If Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize diplomatic relations before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
The agreement must be ratified before Jan 1, 2027 to be included within the Payout Criterion.
What this bet really costs you
On $100 at 3¢ you pay $6.79 in fees on Kalshi
0.20¢ per contract · 3333 contracts
On $100 at 3¢ you pay $5.82 in fees on Polymarket US
0.17¢ per contract · 3333 contracts
Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.
Free Telegram alerts. Example:
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Data: Kalshi id KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01 · ← All tracked markets