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Will Jack Lowden be the next James Bond?
40¢+150
Odds history
No odds history archived for this market yet — the archive accrues continuously.
How this market settles
- Pays Yes when
- If Jack Lowden is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- When
- Closes 2030-01-01.
Read the full rules Kalshi publishes
If Jack Lowden is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr. No (1962); spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not included.
What this bet really costs you
On $100 at 40¢ you pay $4.20 in fees on Kalshi
1.68¢ per contract · 250 contracts
On $100 at 40¢ you pay $3.60 in fees on Polymarket US
1.44¢ per contract · 250 contracts
Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.
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