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Will Shohei Ohtani strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?

0.1¢

last trade · closes 2026-10-16

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24h volume$0
Open interest$1.1K
Lifetime volume$697.2K

Odds history

Implied odds over timebid/askmid10.0%5.0%0.0%Sep 21 23:09 UTCSep 23 13:52 UTC

How this market settles

Pays Yes when
This market will resolve according to the pitcher who records the most strikeouts among pitchers during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
Who decides
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
When
Closes 2026-10-16.
Read the full rules Polymarket publishes

This market will resolve according to the pitcher who records the most strikeouts among pitchers during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the pitcher that records fewer innings pitched during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that records the lower ERA during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that walked fewer batters during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the pitcher whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

What this bet really costs you

  • On $100 at 1¢ you pay $6.94 in fees on Kalshi

    0.07¢ per contract · 10000 contracts

  • On $100 at 1¢ you pay $5.94 in fees on Polymarket US

    0.06¢ per contract · 10000 contracts

Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.

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Data: Polymarket id 0xf36ca14a48498caf241db6474d87559eb6c5257643426c8ba095342b6f8a904f · ← All tracked markets