KalshiPoliticsActive
Will the difference between the number of Republican governors and the number of Democratic governors be between -50 and -1 governors after the 2026 midterms?
68¢−213
Odds history
No odds history archived for this market yet — the archive accrues continuously.
How this market settles
- Pays Yes when
- If Democrats hold more governorships than Republicans after the 2026 midterm elections, the market resolves to Yes.
- When
- Closes 2027-01-01.
Read the full rules Kalshi publishes
If Democrats hold more governorships than Republicans after the 2026 midterm elections, the market resolves to Yes.
For the purposes of this Contract, the total number of governorships held by a party is calculated by counting (i) uncontested governorships (those without a scheduled election in 2026) plus (ii) contested governorships won by that party's candidate as determined under the resolution criteria of the ELECTION contract, including the accelerated provision.
What this bet really costs you
On $100 at 68¢ you pay $2.24 in fees on Kalshi
1.52¢ per contract · 147 contracts
On $100 at 68¢ you pay $1.92 in fees on Polymarket US
1.31¢ per contract · 147 contracts
Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.
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