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Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?

3.9¢+2464

last trade · closes 2027-04-01

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24h volume$6.5K
Open interest$183.8K
Lifetime volume$935.5K

Odds history

Implied odds over timebid/askmid10.0%5.0%0.0%Sep 18 14:04 UTCSep 23 13:52 UTC

How this market settles

Pays Yes when
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship.
Who decides
The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
When
Closes 2027-04-01.
Read the full rules Polymarket publishes

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

What this bet really costs you

  • On $100 at 4¢ you pay $6.73 in fees on Kalshi

    0.27¢ per contract · 2500 contracts

  • On $100 at 4¢ you pay $5.76 in fees on Polymarket US

    0.23¢ per contract · 2500 contracts

Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.

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Data: Polymarket id 0x8133843fe31063a6cc17c4582c023a832ee64802c98fcc08d79521629831d3c4 · ← All tracked markets