KalshiOtherActive
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran before Jan 1, 2027?
3.7¢+2603
Odds history
No odds history archived for this market yet — the archive accrues continuously.
How this market settles
- Pays Yes when
- If the United States has announced the opening of an embassy or consulate of the United States of America in Iran after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- When
- Closes 2027-01-01.
Read the full rules Kalshi publishes
If the United States has announced the opening of an embassy or consulate of the United States of America in Iran after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
The embassy/consulate must be opened or have a specific date on which it will be opened to be encompassed by the Payout Criterion. It also includes an embassy being re-opened after suspending operations.
What this bet really costs you
On $100 at 4¢ you pay $6.73 in fees on Kalshi
0.27¢ per contract · 2500 contracts
On $100 at 4¢ you pay $5.76 in fees on Polymarket US
0.23¢ per contract · 2500 contracts
Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.
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