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Will Yannick Jadot win the 2027 French presidential election?
0.1¢
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Odds history
How this market settles
hard deadline December 31, 2027
- Pays Yes when
- The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current…
- Who decides
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
- When
- Closes 2028-01-01.
Read the full rules Polymarket publishes
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
What this bet really costs you
On $100 at 1¢ you pay $6.94 in fees on Kalshi
0.07¢ per contract · 10000 contracts
On $100 at 1¢ you pay $5.94 in fees on Polymarket US
0.06¢ per contract · 10000 contracts
Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.
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