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impaul0x1851…7016

Every $100 on their bets came back as $103.65 · 213 bets settled since Mar 6

Not verified yet — cautious estimate not above $100
  • 78 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
  • Cautious estimate: $77.32 back per $100 — needs to be above $100
  • Active today — within the last 14 days

Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (5 left out). Checked 2026-09-30 02:28 UTC.

$100 on each bet, net · cumulative−$1,000$1,000$2,000break-evenMarAprMayJunJulAugSep 20+$777$100 on each bet, net · cumulative−$1,000$1,000$2,000break-evenMarMayJunJulAugSep 20+$777
Best at Weather · $100 → $116last 10

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Track record

Settled bets · newest first$100 result

The newest 50 bets are listed; the figures above count all 213 settled bets.

By topic · $100 →

  • Other146 bets$93
  • Weather30 bets$116
  • Sports19 bets$110
  • Crypto9 bets$240
  • Politics8 bets$66
  • Tech1 bets$161
Polymarket’s own figures: realized +$49,257 · unrealized −$58 · profile ↗
Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket's own figures for this wallet, read from its public data API and labelled as such. TapeXray computes neither, and unrealized never appears in a headline.

Not verified yet — cautious estimate not above $100

  • 78 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
  • Cautious estimate: $77.32 back per $100 — needs to be above $100
  • Active today — within the last 14 days

Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (5 left out). Checked 2026-09-30 02:28 UTC.

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Polymarket moved 8¢ on US recession in 2026? in the last 60 minutes (12¢ → 20¢). Kalshi hasn't caught up — still sitting at 14¢.Get alerts

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Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0x1851cc2a59239f189b52c51df00d3e1e4b537016 · ← All whale receipts