Yes · Trump renames AI by September 30?
$17,197 at 78.8¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 78.8¢ pays $127
HornyBibi0x708d…ea78
Every $100 on their bets came back as $137.35 · 192 bets settled since Jan 24
Not verified yet — cautious estimate not above $100
- 56 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $58.81 back per $100 — needs to be above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (22 left out). Checked 2026-09-30 02:28 UTC.
Best at Politics · $100 → $173last 10
Open bets you can still get in on
No · Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
$230 at 57.5¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 57.5¢ pays $174Yes · Will the Republicans win the Arizona Secretary of State race in 2026?
$72 at 16¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 16¢ pays $625
Watch in this browser
Track record
Settled bets · newest first$100 result
- Yes · Will Marco Rubio give the next White House press briefing?$171 at 47.3¢ · Sep 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $86left out of every figure—
- No · Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 11?$86 at 99¢ · Sep 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
- Yes · Will JD Vance say "Socialist" or "Socialism" during RNC Convention?$4 at 84.3¢ · Sep 11 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?$616 at 2.8¢ · Sep 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $1,859left out of every figure—
- Yes · Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 27, 2026?$1,859 at 98.4¢ · Aug 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$2
- No · Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$156 at 40.2¢ · Aug 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$673 at 22.9¢ · Aug 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Trump say "America First" this week?$71 at 49.1¢ · Aug 25 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$104
2 bets at 97¢ or more · $2,505left out of every figure—
- Yes · Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 22?$167 at 98.9¢ · Aug 23 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
- No · Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by fire?$2,338 at 97.4¢ · Aug 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$3
- Yes · Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?$7,236 at 96.7¢ · Aug 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$3
- Yes · Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?$12 at 82.3¢ · Aug 11 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$21
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $1,239left out of every figure—
- Yes · Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?$1,239 at 98.6¢ · Aug 11 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
- Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?$158 at 18.7¢ · Aug 9 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?$301 at 10.1¢ · Aug 8 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 7?$13 at 66¢ · Aug 8 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$52
- Yes · Iran successfully targets shipping on July 28?$15 at 9.7¢ · Aug 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?$29 at 14.5¢ · Aug 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?$55 at 14¢ · Aug 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by July 31, 2026?$10 at 1.9¢ · Aug 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
2 bets at 97¢ or more · $53left out of every figure—
- Yes · Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on July 30?$10 at 99¢ · Jul 31 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
- Yes · Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on July 28?$43 at 98.4¢ · Jul 29 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$2
- Yes · Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?$134 at 48.8¢ · Jul 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$105
- Yes · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$19 at 60.6¢ · Jul 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$65
- Yes · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?$29 at 51.8¢ · Jul 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Trump praise Weijia Jiang by July 31?$3 at 3¢ · Jul 25 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Trump say "Melania" during White House Correspondents Dinner?$61 at 56¢ · Jul 25 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 23, 2026?$571 at 91.2¢ · Jul 23 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$10
- Yes · Will Trump say "Six Seven" during remarks in Georgia?$12 at 5.8¢ · Jul 22 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Trump say "Family" 5+ times during remarks in Georgia?$117 at 52.1¢ · Jul 22 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Trump say "Melania" during remarks in Georgia?$5 at 16.7¢ · Jul 22 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Trump say "Booming" during remarks in Georgia?$32 at 63¢ · Jul 22 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$59
- No · Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during remarks in Georgia?$488 at 91.5¢ · Jul 22 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$9
- Yes · Will Trump say "Too Big to Rig" during remarks in Georgia?$68 at 29.2¢ · Jul 22 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$242
- No · Will Trump say "Venezuela" during remarks in Georgia?$28 at 16¢ · Jul 22 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Trump say "Fake News" during remarks in Georgia?$321 at 80.5¢ · Jul 22 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$24
- Yes · Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during remarks in Georgia?$30 at 59¢ · Jul 22 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$70
- Yes · Iran full airspace closure by July 21?$4 at 6¢ · Jul 22 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in July?$379 at 96.5¢ · Jul 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$4
- Yes · Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?$685 at 92.6¢ · Jul 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$8
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $250left out of every figure—
- Yes · Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on July 18?$250 at 97.8¢ · Jul 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$2
- Yes · Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 18, 2026?$2,237 at 85.5¢ · Jul 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$17
- Yes · Will Trump say "Cuba" or "Cuban" this week?$27 at 90¢ · Jul 18 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$11
- No · Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on July 16?$292 at 91.3¢ · Jul 17 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$10
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $224left out of every figure—
- Yes · Will Trump say "Patriot" this week?$224 at 97.9¢ · Jul 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$2
- Yes · Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 15, 2026?$25 at 84¢ · Jul 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$19
- Argentina · England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$600 at 48.1¢ · Jul 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$108
- No · Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?$3,276 at 76.4¢ · Jul 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$31
- Yes · Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?$34 at 10.6¢ · Jul 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 12, 2026?$14 at 35.8¢ · Jul 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
The newest 50 bets are listed; the figures above count all 192 settled bets.
8 more open bets
No · Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026?
$67 at 43.5¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 43.5¢ pays $230Yes · Iran full airspace closure by September 30?
$26 at 10¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 10¢ pays $1,000Yes · Will Trump praise Elon Musk in September?
$13 at 67¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 67¢ pays $149Yes · Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by September 30, 2026?
$6 at 16¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 16¢ pays $625No · Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
$5 at 70¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 70¢ pays $143Yes · Will Donald Trump be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?
$3 at 4.5¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 4.5¢ pays $2,237Yes · Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?
$0 at 6¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 6¢ pays $1,667Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?
$0 at 1.4¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 1.4¢ pays $7,299
By topic · $100 →
- Politics108 bets$173
- Other71 bets$90
- Sports7 bets$93
- Economy6 bets$116
Polymarket’s own figures: realized +$28,168 · unrealized +$6,824 · profile ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Realized and unrealized
Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket's own figures for this wallet, read from its public data API and labelled as such. TapeXray computes neither, and unrealized never appears in a headline.
Not verified yet — cautious estimate not above $100
- 56 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $58.81 back per $100 — needs to be above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (22 left out). Checked 2026-09-30 02:28 UTC.
Free Telegram alerts. Example:
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Fine print
- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public, and nothing else is inferred. The verified tick is earned from the record on every export, never granted by hand.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did, at what price, and what $100 would pay at the live price. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
- Whose figures. “$100 on each bet” counts settled bets at the whale’s own price; bets at 97¢ or more are left out, and fees and slippage are not in it. Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket’s own, from its public data API.
- Report an error or ask for a handle to be removed: contact. How the $100 figure and the tick work: methodology.
Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0x708dba576d798c24215e267413503269fe39ea78 · ← All whale receipts