Yes · Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$1 at 50¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 50¢ pays $200
0xd4aa6f8e91cfea29b66a48ebf…0x709e…66f5
Every $100 on their bets came back as $100.53 · 149 bets settled since Apr 3
Not verified yet — cautious estimate not above $100
- 47 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $82.11 back per $100 — needs to be above $100
- Last fill 1 days ago — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (3 left out). Checked 2026-09-30 02:28 UTC.
Best at Sports · $100 → $94last 10
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No · Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$1 at 50¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 50¢ pays $200
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Track record
Settled bets · newest first$100 result
- No · Will Belgium win on 2026-09-28?$100,529 at 68.7¢ · Sep 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$46
- No · Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-26?$4,872 at 44¢ · Sep 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$127
- KC · Spread: KC (-5.5)$20,272 at 51¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11?$13,741 at 45¢ · Sep 11 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-09-11?$1,457 at 71¢ · Sep 11 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$41
- Yes · Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-09-11?$8,140 at 47¢ · Sep 11 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$113
- No · Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-09-06?$12,760 at 55¢ · Sep 11 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Ben Shelton · US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz$45,019 at 23¢ · Sep 9 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$335
- Frances Tiafoe · US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen$100,447 at 58.1¢ · Sep 8 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$72
- No · Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-09-08?$10,098 at 62¢ · Sep 8 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$61
- Yes · Will Getafe CF win on 2026-09-07?$30 at 33¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-09-05?$41,182 at 57¢ · Sep 6 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Manchester City FC · Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)$2,610 at 60¢ · Sep 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-09-05?$11,189 at 68.5¢ · Sep 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$46
- No · Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-09-05?$1,674 at 56.3¢ · Sep 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$78
- No · Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-09-05?$12,093 at 41¢ · Sep 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$144
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $249left out of every figure—
- Oklahoma · UTEP vs. Oklahoma$249 at 99.4¢ · Sep 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
- Yes · Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?$7,707 at 66¢ · Sep 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $133left out of every figure—
- Rutgers · UMass vs. Rutgers$133 at 97¢ · Sep 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yunchaokete Bu · US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Yunchaokete Bu$35 at 9¢ · Sep 2 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1,011
- Yes · Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-08-31?$3,541 at 43¢ · Aug 31 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$133
- Yes · Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-08-30?$2,576 at 69¢ · Aug 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$45
- Team Spirit · Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs$44 at 64¢ · Aug 23 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$56
- No · Will Celtic FC win on 2026-08-19?$518 at 11.9¢ · Aug 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Sabah FK win on 2026-08-19?$19,872 at 70.4¢ · Aug 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$42
- No · Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-08-16?$98,904 at 54¢ · Aug 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-08-16?$3,278 at 46¢ · Aug 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$117
- Yes · Will Manchester City win on 2026-08-16?$1,607 at 36¢ · Aug 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-08-16?$249 at 50¢ · Aug 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$100
- Yes · Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-08-16?$3,807 at 47¢ · Aug 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will CF Montréal win on 2026-08-15?$5,487 at 54¢ · Aug 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$85
- Argentina · Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$492,064 at 41.3¢ · Jul 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- New York Knicks · NBA Summer League: New York Knicks vs. Golden State Warriors$209 at 29¢ · Jul 17 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First Half$3,150 at 21¢ · Jul 14 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will France win on 2026-07-14?$170,783 at 61.8¢ · Jul 14 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$62
- Yes · Will the furthest home run at the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby travel 500+ Feet?$52 at 27.1¢ · Jul 14 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Benoît Saint Denis · UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)$1,796 at 53¢ · Jul 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will England win on 2026-07-11?$148,294 at 47.4¢ · Jul 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$111
- Yes · Will England win on 2026-07-11?$26,196 at 50.6¢ · Jul 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will a team from LCS (North America) win MSI 2026?$49 at 2.7¢ · Jul 11 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$246 at 54.3¢ · Jul 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$84
- No · Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?$8,461 at 84¢ · Jul 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$19
- Yes · Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?$1,607 at 16.8¢ · Jul 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Spain · Spread: Spain (-1.5)$2,819 at 34.6¢ · Jul 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Novak Djokovic · Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic$45,366 at 17.7¢ · Jul 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Jannik Sinner · Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic$322,019 at 82¢ · Jul 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$22
- Under · France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5$8,703 at 49.3¢ · Jul 9 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$103
- United States · United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance$108,928 at 54¢ · Jul 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Aryna Sabalenka · Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka$429 at 66¢ · Jul 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Mexico · Spread: Mexico (-1.5)$19,428 at 18.9¢ · Jul 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$428
The newest 50 bets are listed; the figures above count all 149 settled bets.
By topic · $100 →
- Other113 bets$103
- Sports36 bets$94
Polymarket’s own figures: realized −$984,850 · unrealized $0 · profile ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Realized and unrealized
Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket's own figures for this wallet, read from its public data API and labelled as such. TapeXray computes neither, and unrealized never appears in a headline.
Not verified yet — cautious estimate not above $100
- 47 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $82.11 back per $100 — needs to be above $100
- Last fill 1 days ago — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (3 left out). Checked 2026-09-30 02:28 UTC.
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Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Fine print
- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public, and nothing else is inferred. The verified tick is earned from the record on every export, never granted by hand.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did, at what price, and what $100 would pay at the live price. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
- Whose figures. “$100 on each bet” counts settled bets at the whale’s own price; bets at 97¢ or more are left out, and fees and slippage are not in it. Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket’s own, from its public data API.
- Report an error or ask for a handle to be removed: contact. How the $100 figure and the tick work: methodology.
Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0x709e8dcb133555794decc598e07f2c923b8366f5 · ← All whale receipts