Ronaldo21000x71ca…3501

Every $100 on their bets came back as $93.80 · 106 bets settled since May 7

Not verified yet — 6 of 30 settled bets

6 of 30 settled bets in the last 90 days
Cautious estimate: $116.30 back per $100 — above $100
Active today — within the last 14 days

Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (12 left out). Checked 2026-09-30 02:28 UTC.

Best at Sports · $100 → $109last 10

Open bets you can still get in on

Yes · Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
$130,593 at 50¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 50¢ pays $200
No · Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
$130,593 at 50¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 50¢ pays $200
No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$36,883 at 83¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 83¢ pays $120

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Track record

Settled bets · newest first$100 result

Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$168,744 at 82.4¢ · Sep 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$21
Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$178,107 at 87.1¢ · Jul 29 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$15
No · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,608 at 80.4¢ · Jul 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$24
No · Will England win on 2026-07-11?$799 at 53.3¢ · Jul 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$88
Yes · Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$1,796 at 22¢ · Jul 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$355
No · Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?$9,555 at 86¢ · Jul 9 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$16
Yes · Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$5,123 at 73.6¢ · Jun 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$36
Yes · Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$3,629 at 56.1¢ · May 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$78
No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?$10,039 at 90.4¢ · May 29 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$11
Yes · Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$46 at 21.7¢ · May 18 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
Spurs · NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves $1,887 at 91.4¢ · May 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$9
Makhmudov · Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov$1,780 at 16.9¢ · Apr 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
No · US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$40,888 at 92¢ · Apr 11 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
Yes · US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$2,130 at 40¢ · Apr 8 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$150
No · Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$19,549 at 88¢ · Apr 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$14
Yes · Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$175 at 88¢ · Mar 23 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$14
Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$93,480 at 93.5¢ · Mar 18 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$7
Yes · Government shutdown on Saturday?$3,500 at 63¢ · Feb 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
Yes · Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$17,325 at 79.9¢ · Feb 9 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
No · US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?$9,888 at 89¢ · Jan 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$12
No · US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$4,716 at 95¢ · Jan 14 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$5
JD Gaming · LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5)$466 at 84¢ · Jan 2 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$19
No · Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?$955 at 56.9¢ · Jan 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
Yes · Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?$24,989 at 86.8¢ · Jan 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$15
Yes · Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?$1,995 at 89.8¢ · Dec 25 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$11
Yes · Will "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)$3,310 at 76.5¢ · Dec 23 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
Ninjas in Pyjamas · LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming (BO3)$4,033 at 79.6¢ · Dec 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
Yes · Will Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?$515 at 92.8¢ · Dec 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$8
Yes · Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$15,894 at 89.3¢ · Dec 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$12
T1 · LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5)$2,309 at 56.2¢ · Dec 14 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$78
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $7,359left out of every figure—
- Yes · Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during December press conference?$7,359 at 98.7¢ · Dec 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
No · Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?$7,647 at 81.5¢ · Dec 2 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$23
Yes · Will José Antonio Kast come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$5,040 at 84¢ · Nov 17 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$19
Yes · Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$3,012 at 94.9¢ · Nov 17 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$5
Yes · Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?$732 at 80.7¢ · Nov 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$24
Yes · Will the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?$115 at 71¢ · Oct 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
Yes · Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$349,899 at 92.5¢ · Oct 29 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$8
Yes · Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?$33,724 at 89.8¢ · Oct 25 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$11
Yes · Will elections be called before a new Prime Minister is appointed?$132 at 7.1¢ · Oct 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
No · Will no one dissent September Fed decision?$17 at 66¢ · Sep 17 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$52
Yes · Fed rate cut in 2025?$8,931 at 83.3¢ · Sep 17 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$20
No · No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$70,654 at 87.1¢ · Sep 17 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$15
2 bets at 97¢ or more · $65,033left out of every figure—
- Yes · Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during July Press Conference?$1,946 at 98.8¢ · Jul 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
- Yes · No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?$63,087 at 97.5¢ · Jul 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$3
Yes · Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?$1 at 0.2¢ · Jul 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
Yes · Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$215 at 38.7¢ · Jun 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$158
Yes · Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$16,181 at 70.3¢ · Jun 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
No · Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?$2,266 at 34¢ · Jun 23 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
Yes · US military action against Iran before July?$3,353 at 63.8¢ · Jun 22 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$57
Yes · Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$3,657 at 61.3¢ · Jun 18 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100

The newest 50 bets are listed; the figures above count all 106 settled bets.

4 more open bets

Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
$23,111 at 52¢ · Sep 29 18:51 UTC
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 52¢ pays $192
Yes · US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
$14,723 at 87.6¢ · Sep 26 17:38 UTC
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 87.6¢ pays $114
No · Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
$5,555 at 50¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 50¢ pays $200
No · Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
$4,888 at 88¢ · Feb 08 18:11 UTC
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 88¢ pays $114

By topic · $100 →

Other40 bets$85
Sports40 bets$109
Politics16 bets$77
Economy9 bets$106
Culture1 bets$0

Polymarket’s own figures: realized +$523,757 · unrealized +$7,546 · profile ↗

Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket's own figures for this wallet, read from its public data API and labelled as such. TapeXray computes neither, and unrealized never appears in a headline.

Not verified yet — 6 of 30 settled bets

6 of 30 settled bets in the last 90 days
Cautious estimate: $116.30 back per $100 — above $100
Active today — within the last 14 days

Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (12 left out). Checked 2026-09-30 02:28 UTC.

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Polymarket moved 8¢ on US recession in 2026? in the last 60 minutes (12¢ → 20¢). Kalshi hasn't caught up — still sitting at 14¢.

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Fine print

Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public, and nothing else is inferred. The verified tick is earned from the record on every export, never granted by hand.
Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did, at what price, and what $100 would pay at the live price. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
Whose figures. “$100 on each bet” counts settled bets at the whale’s own price; bets at 97¢ or more are left out, and fees and slippage are not in it. Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket’s own, from its public data API.
Report an error or ask for a handle to be removed: contact. How the $100 figure and the tick work: methodology.

Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0x71ca04d689bc38c5e4dcda8a4d743f279c5a3501 · ← All whale receipts