No · Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
$63,788 at 71.4¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 71.4¢ pays $140
tetrose0x7447…a16d
Every $100 on their bets came back as $58.53 · 124 bets settled since Jun 15
Not verified yet — cautious estimate not above $100
- 95 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $46.87 back per $100 — needs to be above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (10 left out). Checked 2026-09-30 02:28 UTC.
last 10
Open bets you can still get in on
Yes · NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
$40,371 at 18.8¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 18.8¢ pays $533Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
$26,858 at 50.4¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 50.4¢ pays $198
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Track record
Settled bets · newest first$100 result
- Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?$1,227 at 13.4¢ · Sep 22 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$78,440 at 78.2¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$28
- Yes · Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$864 at 1.7¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $564left out of every figure—
- No · Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$564 at 98.4¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$2
- Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?$1,829 at 0.8¢ · Sep 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$12,753 at 96.9¢ · Sep 9 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$3
- Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$16,302 at 13.9¢ · Sep 9 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Iran leadership change by August 31?$438 at 7.5¢ · Sep 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?$4,628 at 80.4¢ · Sep 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$24
- Yes · Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?$477 at 2.8¢ · Sep 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?$18,880 at 13.9¢ · Aug 31 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?$3,917 at 25.9¢ · Aug 31 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?$2,705 at 3.4¢ · Aug 31 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?$42,614 at 17.1¢ · Aug 31 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $25,234left out of every figure—
- No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?$25,234 at 98.1¢ · Aug 18 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$2
- Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?$206 at 0.82¢ · Aug 18 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?$369 at 21.1¢ · Aug 18 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?$3,148 at 43.9¢ · Aug 18 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$128
- Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?$1,257 at 7¢ · Aug 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?$1,077 at 3.2¢ · Aug 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$56,331 at 22.1¢ · Aug 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$3,101 at 18¢ · Aug 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$456
- Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026?$235 at 1.6¢ · Aug 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?$53 at 0.44¢ · Aug 11 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August?$6,925 at 33.8¢ · Aug 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?$911 at 24.5¢ · Aug 8 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$8,057 at 69.7¢ · Aug 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$43
- Yes · Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$476 at 15.1¢ · Aug 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?$261 at 14.7¢ · Aug 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?$12,310 at 96¢ · Aug 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$4
- No · Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$27,867 at 93.6¢ · Aug 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$7
- Yes · Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$163 at 2¢ · Aug 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $77,731left out of every figure—
- No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?$77,731 at 97¢ · Aug 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$3
- No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$8,771 at 92.6¢ · Aug 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$8
- Yes · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$5,898 at 26.5¢ · Aug 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?$7,907 at 86.4¢ · Aug 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$16
- Yes · Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?$3,870 at 28¢ · Aug 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$3,066 at 2.5¢ · Aug 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$9,901 at 96¢ · Aug 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$4
- Yes · Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$33 at 0.9¢ · Aug 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$15,274 at 87.2¢ · Aug 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$15
- Yes · Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$2,016 at 10.2¢ · Aug 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Mohammed bin Salman sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$25,347 at 94.3¢ · Aug 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$6
- Yes · Will Mohammed bin Salman sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$166 at 0.98¢ · Aug 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$14,046 at 95¢ · Aug 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$5
- Yes · Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$128 at 1.3¢ · Aug 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$11,681 at 96.3¢ · Aug 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$4
- Yes · Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$2,618 at 6.7¢ · Aug 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$26,013 at 84.6¢ · Aug 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$18
- Yes · Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$2,945 at 7.2¢ · Aug 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
The newest 50 bets are listed; the figures above count all 124 settled bets.
47 more open bets
Yes · 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
$17,481 at 29.8¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 29.8¢ pays $336Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
$17,390 at 21.3¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 21.3¢ pays $470Yes · NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
$17,002 at 30.8¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 30.8¢ pays $325Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$10,044 at 15¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 15¢ pays $668No · Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
$9,489 at 21.3¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 21.3¢ pays $470Yes · Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?
$8,747 at 80.7¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 80.7¢ pays $124No · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
$7,629 at 48.6¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 48.6¢ pays $206Yes · Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
$7,543 at 35¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 35¢ pays $286Yes · Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?
$6,796 at 17¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 17¢ pays $589Yes · Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
$5,769 at 11.6¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 11.6¢ pays $859Yes · Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
$5,379 at 6¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 6¢ pays $1,667Yes · Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
$4,941 at 50.5¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 50.5¢ pays $198Yes · Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
$4,914 at 7.8¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 7.8¢ pays $1,289No · Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
$4,786 at 48.8¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 48.8¢ pays $205Yes · Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
$4,198 at 7.8¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 7.8¢ pays $1,277Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?
$3,961 at 5¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 5¢ pays $2,012Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
$3,543 at 42¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 42¢ pays $238Yes · US strike on Colombia by December 31?
$2,302 at 19.3¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 19.3¢ pays $519No · US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
$2,285 at 7.9¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 7.9¢ pays $1,272No change · No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?
$2,257 at 29.2¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 29.2¢ pays $343Yes · Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?
$2,186 at 44.9¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 44.9¢ pays $223Yes · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
$2,070 at 13.7¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 13.7¢ pays $728Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?
$1,510 at 2.8¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 2.8¢ pays $3,623Yes · Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
$1,427 at 1.4¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 1.4¢ pays $7,143Yes · Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
$1,332 at 1.8¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 1.8¢ pays $5,495Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?
$1,307 at 1.5¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 1.5¢ pays $6,711Yes · Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
$1,298 at 1.8¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 1.8¢ pays $5,714Yes · Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
$1,279 at 1.3¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 1.3¢ pays $7,576Yes · Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
$1,224 at 2¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 2¢ pays $5,000Yes · Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
$1,189 at 2.2¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 2.2¢ pays $4,630Yes · Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
$1,165 at 2.4¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 2.4¢ pays $4,149Yes · Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
$1,165 at 2.4¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 2.4¢ pays $4,149Yes · Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
$1,165 at 2.4¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 2.4¢ pays $4,149Yes · Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
$1,165 at 2.4¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 2.4¢ pays $4,149Yes · Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
$1,165 at 2.4¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 2.4¢ pays $4,149Yes · Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
$1,165 at 2.4¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 2.4¢ pays $4,149Yes · Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
$1,165 at 2.4¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 2.4¢ pays $4,149Yes · Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
$1,165 at 2.4¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 2.4¢ pays $4,149Yes · Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
$1,165 at 2.4¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 2.4¢ pays $4,149Yes · Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
$1,165 at 2.4¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 2.4¢ pays $4,149Yes · Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
$1,165 at 2.4¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 2.4¢ pays $4,149Yes · Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
$967 at 5.1¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 5.1¢ pays $1,969Yes · Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
$882 at 32¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 32¢ pays $313Yes · Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
$660 at 5.9¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 5.9¢ pays $1,698No · Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
$633 at 16.6¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 16.6¢ pays $602Yes · Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
$600 at 12¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 12¢ pays $833Yes · Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
$571 at 50¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 50¢ pays $200
By topic · $100 →
- Other107 bets$60
- Politics11 bets$39
- Economy4 bets$32
- Sports2 bets$130
Polymarket’s own figures: realized +$913,738 · unrealized −$19,340 · profile ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Realized and unrealized
Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket's own figures for this wallet, read from its public data API and labelled as such. TapeXray computes neither, and unrealized never appears in a headline.
Not verified yet — cautious estimate not above $100
- 95 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $46.87 back per $100 — needs to be above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (10 left out). Checked 2026-09-30 02:28 UTC.
Free Telegram alerts. Example:
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Fine print
- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public, and nothing else is inferred. The verified tick is earned from the record on every export, never granted by hand.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did, at what price, and what $100 would pay at the live price. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
- Whose figures. “$100 on each bet” counts settled bets at the whale’s own price; bets at 97¢ or more are left out, and fees and slippage are not in it. Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket’s own, from its public data API.
- Report an error or ask for a handle to be removed: contact. How the $100 figure and the tick work: methodology.
Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0x74471a007ddcc488f6d57b5e86dfb35a8d48a16d · ← All whale receipts