No · Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
$45,895 at 89.6¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 89.6¢ pays $112
pakukudolphi0x88e2…7489
Every $100 on their bets came back as $109.74 · 95 bets settled since Jul 22
Not verified yet — 19 of 30 settled bets
- 19 of 30 settled bets in the last 90 days
- Cautious estimate: $33.56 back per $100 — needs to be above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (5 left out). Checked 2026-09-30 02:28 UTC.
last 10
Open bets you can still get in on
No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
$36,115 at 95¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 95¢ pays $105Yes · Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$24,600 at 50¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 50¢ pays $200
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Track record
Settled bets · newest first$100 result
- No · US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?$276 at 10.8¢ · Sep 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $38,800left out of every figure—
- No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?$38,800 at 97¢ · Sep 22 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$3
- No · US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?$11 at 2.1¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?$724 at 58.8¢ · Sep 18 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Israel military action against Syria by September 15, 2026?$279 at 70¢ · Sep 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$43
- No · Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$187 at 93¢ · Sep 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$8
- No · US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$4,212 at 52.7¢ · Aug 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$90
- Yes · US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$3,382 at 47.6¢ · Aug 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?$4,299 at 61.4¢ · Aug 8 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$63
- Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?$3,695 at 42.9¢ · Aug 8 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?$1,953 at 47.7¢ · Jul 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?$1,400 at 45.9¢ · Jul 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$118
- No · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$593 at 41¢ · Jul 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?$73 at 15¢ · Jul 25 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?$2,555 at 64.3¢ · Jul 17 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$56
- No · Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$1,610 at 74¢ · Jul 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Over · O/U 2.5 Rounds$1,294 at 53¢ · Jul 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$4,550 at 91¢ · Jul 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$10
- Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1,143 at 37¢ · Jul 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$36 at 5.5¢ · Jul 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Israel closes its airspace by June 30?$7,813 at 76.3¢ · Jul 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$31
- No · Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$4,265 at 74.3¢ · Jul 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$35
- Yes · Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$5,721 at 24.6¢ · Jul 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $16,968left out of every figure—
- No · Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$16,968 at 97.4¢ · Jul 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$3
- Yes · Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$28 at 10¢ · Jul 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$3 at 18¢ · Jul 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$0 at 5.4¢ · Jun 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1,752
- Yes · Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?$1 at 65¢ · Jun 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$5,559 at 50.5¢ · Jun 18 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$22,905 at 49.9¢ · Jun 18 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$100
- No · Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?$294 at 92¢ · Jun 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$9
- Yes · Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?$269 at 9¢ · Jun 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$433 at 81¢ · Jun 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$668 at 45¢ · Jun 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$122
- Yes · US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?$2,134 at 62¢ · Jun 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$61
- Yes · Israel closes its airspace by June 8?$3,086 at 65.4¢ · Jun 9 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$53,256 at 87.2¢ · Jun 8 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$15
- Yes · US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$27,960 at 31¢ · Jun 8 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Iran closes its airspace by July 31?$40 at 62¢ · Jun 8 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$9,107 at 25¢ · Jun 2 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$70,637 at 92.3¢ · Jun 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$8
- Yes · US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$39,807 at 21.3¢ · Jun 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?$1 at 12¢ · Jun 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Iran leadership change by May 31?$3,403 at 6.8¢ · Jun 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$514 at 14.1¢ · Jun 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$16 at 3¢ · Jun 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?$419 at 11¢ · Jun 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?$298 at 88¢ · Jun 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$14
- No · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$1,596 at 81¢ · Jun 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$23
- Yes · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$527 at 12.3¢ · Jun 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
The newest 50 bets are listed; the figures above count all 95 settled bets.
30 more open bets
No · Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$24,600 at 50¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 50¢ pays $200No · Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
$17,118 at 88.3¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 88.3¢ pays $113Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
$11,679 at 88.3¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 88.3¢ pays $113No · Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?
$10,068 at 84¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 84¢ pays $119No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
$9,611 at 68.7¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 68.7¢ pays $146No · Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
$9,134 at 64.5¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 64.5¢ pays $155No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$8,294 at 83¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 83¢ pays $120Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
$7,543 at 64.4¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 64.4¢ pays $155Yes · Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
$5,580 at 84¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 84¢ pays $119No · Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
$4,377 at 70¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 70¢ pays $143No · Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
$4,274 at 88¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 88¢ pays $114No · Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
$2,745 at 61¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 61¢ pays $164No · Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?
$2,723 at 90¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 90¢ pays $111No · Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
$2,083 at 74¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 74¢ pays $135Yes · Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
$915 at 61¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 61¢ pays $164Yes · Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
$600 at 12¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 12¢ pays $833No · IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?
$570 at 79.9¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 79.9¢ pays $125Yes · Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
$476 at 16¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 16¢ pays $625No · US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
$286 at 4.7¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 4.7¢ pays $2,119No · Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?
$223 at 90.8¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 90.8¢ pays $110Yes · Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?
$165 at 33¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 33¢ pays $303No · Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
$119 at 56.5¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 56.5¢ pays $177Yes · Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
$63 at 0.33¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 0.33¢ pays $30,303No · Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
$55 at 77¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 77¢ pays $130Yes · Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
$41 at 48¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 48¢ pays $208Yes · Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 15, 2026?
$28 at 49.2¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 49.2¢ pays $203Yes · Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
$20 at 0.4¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 0.4¢ pays $25,000Yes · Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
$5 at 6.5¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 6.5¢ pays $1,538No · Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
$3 at 66¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 66¢ pays $152Yes · Pakistan military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026?
$3 at 5.2¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 5.2¢ pays $1,923
By topic · $100 →
- Other73 bets$121
- Politics15 bets$82
- Sports7 bets$47
Polymarket’s own figures: realized +$130,522 · unrealized +$5,950 · profile ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Realized and unrealized
Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket's own figures for this wallet, read from its public data API and labelled as such. TapeXray computes neither, and unrealized never appears in a headline.
Not verified yet — 19 of 30 settled bets
- 19 of 30 settled bets in the last 90 days
- Cautious estimate: $33.56 back per $100 — needs to be above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (5 left out). Checked 2026-09-30 02:28 UTC.
Free Telegram alerts. Example:
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Fine print
- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public, and nothing else is inferred. The verified tick is earned from the record on every export, never granted by hand.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did, at what price, and what $100 would pay at the live price. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
- Whose figures. “$100 on each bet” counts settled bets at the whale’s own price; bets at 97¢ or more are left out, and fees and slippage are not in it. Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket’s own, from its public data API.
- Report an error or ask for a handle to be removed: contact. How the $100 figure and the tick work: methodology.
Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0x88e2b1b6c7847828fc91af43aba2fee07fb07489 · ← All whale receipts