BOUGHT No $10,000 @ 50¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Polymarket wallet · 0x9478…63f5 · “50-Pence” on Polymarket · “generalist”
Wallet 0x9478…63f5 — 64–135 on Polymarket
Wallet 0x9478…63f5 is 64–135 on resolved Polymarket markets since 2024-07-26: 201 positions held to resolution, realized P&L +$286,014 as reported by Polymarket's data API, 206 fills on record, each linked to its Polygon transaction. Unrealized P&L is shown separately. Graded 2026-09-29 21:17 UTC.
Record
How the record is counted
| Category | W | L | Void | Exited early | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All | 64 | 135 | 2 | 771 | 35 |
| Other | 50 | 47 | 2 | 332 | 2 |
| Sports | 6 | 53 | 0 | 160 | 32 |
| Politics | 5 | 24 | 0 | 197 | 0 |
| Economy | 1 | 7 | 0 | 52 | 1 |
| Weather | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| Crypto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 0 |
| Culture | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 0 |
Realized and unrealized
Unrealized on open positions: +$16,800 (venue figure, not counted above).
Receipts
How a receipt is graded
206 fills on record since 2024-07-26; the newest 206 shown.
- open — unrealized
SOLD Yes $83 @ 0.1¢ — Will LASK win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $83 @ 0.1¢ — Will Slovan Bratislava win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $83 @ 0.1¢ — Will Viking win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $83 @ 0.1¢ — Will Sabah win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $490 @ 0.4¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Over $13 @ 0.8¢ — Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5 (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Kings $2,676 @ 55¢ — Warriors vs. Kings (opens in a new tab)
resolved Kings correct ✓BOUGHT Kansas Jayhawks $357 @ 36¢ — St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks (opens in a new tab)
resolved St. Johns Red Storm incorrect ✗BOUGHT Kansas Jayhawks $377 @ 38¢ — St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks (opens in a new tab)
resolved St. Johns Red Storm incorrect ✗BOUGHT Duke Blue Devils $2,753 @ 92¢ — TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Louisville Cardinals $239 @ 12¢ — Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans (opens in a new tab)
resolved Michigan State Spartans incorrect ✗BOUGHT Louisville Cardinals $239 @ 12¢ — Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans (opens in a new tab)
resolved Michigan State Spartans incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $74 @ 91¢ — Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,352 @ 97.6¢ — Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $2,607 @ 91.5¢ — Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,740 @ 91.3¢ — Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $39 @ 99.5¢ — Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $5,173 @ 99.8¢ — Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $54 @ 95¢ — Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Serie A league? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $67 @ 95¢ — Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Serie A league? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $239 @ 95¢ — Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Serie A league? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $5 @ 28¢ — Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $2,084 @ 93.8¢ — Will Al-Hilal win the FIFA Club World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $9,620 @ 93.7¢ — Will Al-Hilal win the FIFA Club World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $6,474 @ 83¢ — Will Man City win the FIFA Club World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $49 @ 17¢ — Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $98 @ 17¢ — Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $781 @ 17¢ — Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $7 @ 6.7¢ — Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $5 @ 6.7¢ — Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $7 @ 6.6¢ — Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,295 @ 7.2¢ — Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $15 @ 5.8¢ — Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $0 @ 5.7¢ — Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,548 @ 99¢ — Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,310 @ 50¢ — Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $981 @ 98.1¢ — Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $687 @ 98.1¢ — Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $981 @ 98.1¢ — Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,177 @ 98.1¢ — Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $981 @ 98.1¢ — Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,472 @ 98.1¢ — Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $14,745 @ 98.3¢ — Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,964 @ 98.2¢ — Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $9,078 @ 94.7¢ — Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $13 @ 93.5¢ — Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $286 @ 95.4¢ — Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $286 @ 95.2¢ — Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $214 @ 97¢ — Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $253 @ 76¢ — Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $8,750 @ 93.4¢ — Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD No $750 @ 25¢ — Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-20? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $0 @ 0.9¢ — Will Aston Villa vs. Newcastle end in a draw? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $288 @ 83¢ — Will Brighton vs. Leicester end in a draw? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $874 @ 91¢ — Will Leicester win on 2025-04-12? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $107 @ 84¢ — Will Brighton vs. Leicester end in a draw? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $36 @ 91¢ — Will Leicester win on 2025-04-12? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD Yes $79 @ 47.6¢ — Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗SOLD No $1,852 @ 50¢ — Will Chelsea win on 2025-01-04? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $52 @ 52¢ — Will Chelsea win on 2025-01-04? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $239 @ 52¢ — Will Chelsea win on 2025-01-04? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $180 @ 52¢ — Will Chelsea win on 2025-01-04? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $5 @ 51¢ — Will Chelsea win on 2025-01-04? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $603 @ 76¢ — Will Bournemouth vs. Everton end in a draw? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Magic $325 @ 53¢ — Magic vs. Raptors (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Pistons $1,207 @ 54¢ — Magic vs. Pistons (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $344 @ 73¢ — Will Manchester United vs. Newcastle end in a draw? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $2,064 @ 74¢ — Will Aston Villa vs. Brighton end in a draw? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Heat $434 @ 24¢ — Heat vs. Rockets (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Thunder $3,700 @ 74¢ — Grizzlies vs. Thunder (opens in a new tab)
resolved Thunder correct ✓BOUGHT No $119 @ 99¢ — Will Tottenham vs. Chelsea end in a draw? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $6 @ 99.9¢ — Will Manchester United vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $511 @ 42¢ — Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-07? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $502 @ 58¢ — Will Fulham win on 2024-12-05? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $155 @ 99.9¢ — Will Newcastle win on 2024-12-04? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2 @ 76¢ — Will Aston Villa vs. Brentford end in a draw? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $64 @ 80¢ — Will Arsenal vs. Manchester United end in a draw? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $430 @ 43¢ — Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-11-30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $268 @ 44¢ — Will Villa win on 2024-11-23? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $220 @ 44¢ — Will Villa win on 2024-11-23? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $848 @ 31¢ — Will Arsenal win on 2024-11-23? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $223 @ 30¢ — Will Arsenal win on 2024-11-23? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $246 @ 32¢ — Will Chelsea win on 2024-11-23? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $93 @ 37¢ — Will Sweden beat Slovakia? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $53 @ 99.9¢ — Will Arsenal win on 2024-11-10? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD No $79 @ 65¢ — Will Newcastle win on 2024-11-10? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $720 @ 72¢ — Will Nottingham Forest vs. Newcastle end in a draw? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $686 @ 90¢ — Will Leicester win on 2024-11-10? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,700 @ 45¢ — Will Man City win on 2024-11-09? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $180 @ 45¢ — Will Man City win on 2024-11-09? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $261 @ 65¢ — Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-11-10? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1 @ 21¢ — Will Spurs win on 2024-11-10? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD No $35 @ 72¢ — Will Everton win on 2024-11-09? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $68 @ 48¢ — Will Wolves win on 2024-11-09? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $156 @ 28¢ — No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $9 @ 55¢ — Will Fenerbahce beat AZ Alkmaar? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $78 @ 66¢ — Will Porto beat Lazio? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $131 @ 58¢ — Will Fenerbahce beat AZ Alkmaar? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $174 @ 40.1¢ — Will Athletic Bilbao beat Ludogorets? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD No $287 @ 33¢ — Will Paris Saint-Germain beat Atletico Madrid? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $7 @ 34¢ — Will Paris Saint-Germain beat Atletico Madrid? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $1,325 @ 65¢ — Will Arsenal beat Inter Milan? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $102 @ 49¢ — Will Aston Villa beat Club Brugge? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $499 @ 52¢ — Will Aston Villa beat Club Brugge? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $788 @ 79¢ — Will the match between Paris Saint-Germain and Atletico Madrid end in a draw? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $790 @ 79¢ — Will the match between Paris Saint-Germain and Atletico Madrid end in a draw? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $9,850 @ 98.5¢ — Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $9,850 @ 98.5¢ — Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $9,960 @ 99.6¢ — Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $240 @ 55¢ — Will Aston Villa beat Club Brugge? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $54 @ 54¢ — Will Aston Villa beat Club Brugge? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $19 @ 17¢ — Will Borussia Dortmund beat Sturm Graz? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $8 @ 16¢ — Will Borussia Dortmund beat Sturm Graz? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $62 @ 62¢ — Will Chelsea win on 2024-11-03? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD No $289 @ 61¢ — Will Chelsea win on 2024-11-03? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD Yes $38 @ 54.2¢ — Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $41 @ 58.1¢ — Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $300 @ 47¢ — Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $322 @ 58¢ — Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,990 @ 43¢ — Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $111 @ 0.1¢ — Will any other Democrat Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD Yes $1,216 @ 44¢ — Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD Yes $1,732 @ 52¢ — Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD Yes $8,618 @ 97¢ — Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗disputedBOUGHT Yes $578 @ 52¢ — Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $47 @ 39¢ — Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $733 @ 66¢ — Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $240 @ 60¢ — Kamala positive favorability by Friday? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $18 @ 16.6¢ — Kamala positive favorability by Friday? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $4,995 @ 99.9¢ — Fed rate cut by November 7? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,050 @ 35¢ — Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓disputedBOUGHT Yes $109 @ 48.9¢ — Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $98 @ 44¢ — Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $0 @ 0.1¢ — Microphones muted during ABC debate? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $3 @ 1.7¢ — No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $216 @ 39¢ — Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $573 @ 81.9¢ — Another GTA 6 trailer released by October 4? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $10 @ 1.4¢ — 2024 August hottest on record? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD Yes $2,167 @ 78¢ — Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,811 @ 49¢ — Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $77 @ 0.2¢ — Will Tim Walz say "Teacher" during CNN interview? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓disputedBOUGHT No $8 @ 0.7¢ — Will Tim Walz say "Teacher" during CNN interview? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗disputedBOUGHT Yes $138 @ 31¢ — Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $327 @ 59¢ — Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $10 @ 0.2¢ — Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $511 @ 92¢ — Bird flu pandemic in 2024? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $160 @ 77¢ — Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $168 @ 50.5¢ — Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $24 @ 0.51¢ — RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $9 @ 0.6¢ — Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $115 @ 51.6¢ — Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $216 @ 99.1¢ — Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $667 @ 0.2¢ — Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $108 @ 48.7¢ — Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $329 @ 37¢ — Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $1,953 @ 81¢ — Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $46 @ 6¢ — Grok bans image generation of Trump in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $230 @ 12.2¢ — Trump fires campaign manager in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $469 @ 32¢ — Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $766 @ 49.3¢ — Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $91 @ 56¢ — Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $396 @ 51¢ — Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $364 @ 46.8¢ — Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $194 @ 25¢ — Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $361 @ 46.5¢ — Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $875 @ 35.8¢ — Iran military response by Friday? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $513 @ 66¢ — Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $583 @ 75¢ — Kamala Harris blowout victory? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 0.1¢ — Will France win Gold in Women's Basketball? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $47 @ 29.4¢ — Will Brazil win Gold in Women's Football (Soccer)? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $39 @ 5¢ — Fed cuts rates by 75 basis points in Sept meeting? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $87 @ 19¢ — 2024 July hottest on record? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $55 @ 22¢ — 2024 July hottest on record? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗BOUGHT USA $86 @ 92¢ — Olympic Basketball: USA vs. Serbia (opens in a new tab)
resolved USA correct ✓SOLD No $178 @ 52.3¢ — Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $700 @ 70¢ — 2024 July hottest on record? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗SOLD Yes $18 @ 54¢ — Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,968 @ 98.4¢ — Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $20 @ 2¢ — Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2024 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3 @ 0.3¢ — Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2024 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $764 @ 76.4¢ — Will Andy Beshear be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $986 @ 98.6¢ — Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $987 @ 98.7¢ — Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $491 @ 98.1¢ — Will Michelle Obama be the Democratic Presidential Nominee? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $380 @ 76¢ — Will Biden finish his term? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1 @ 12¢ — Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $99 @ 99¢ — Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $395 @ 79¢ — 2024 July hottest on record? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $78 @ 39¢ — Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $499 @ 99.7¢ — Will 'Deadpool & Wolverine' gross more than $170m opening weekend? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $199 @ 99.5¢ — France wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $65 @ 75¢ — Trump gets more black voters than in 2020? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $198 @ 98.8¢ — Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓disputedBOUGHT Yes $48 @ 98.7¢ — Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓disputedBOUGHT Yes $97 @ 97.4¢ — Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $26 @ 97.4¢ — Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $93 @ 96.6¢ — Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $175 @ 97¢ — Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $5 @ 26¢ — Will a Republican win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $100 @ 61.2¢ — Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $30 @ 5.2¢ — Will Nic Carter defeat David Hoffman? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $20 @ 1.1¢ — Will David Hoffman defeat Nic Carter? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $20 @ 95¢ — Will Kamala announce VP pick before DNC? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $20 @ 60¢ — Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $10 @ 97¢ — Will J. B. Pritzker announce presidential run before DNC? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealized
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- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public; labels in quotes are inferred from trade patterns on the venue and nothing else.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did and what the market later paid. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
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Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0x9478e0b0db650ac66ca3a2c9f6ed68ebca4863f5 · ← All whale receipts