No · Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$146,000 at 50¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 50¢ pays $200
Do-Not-Redeem0xad89…f6e1
Every $100 on their bets came back as $90.58 · 119 bets settled since Mar 16
Not verified yet — 24 of 30 settled bets
- 24 of 30 settled bets in the last 90 days
- Cautious estimate: $66.40 back per $100 — needs to be above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (39 left out). Checked 2026-09-30 02:28 UTC.
Best at Sports · $100 → $153last 10
Open bets you can still get in on
Yes · Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$146,000 at 50¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 50¢ pays $200Yes · Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
$29,191 at 59.9¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 59.9¢ pays $167
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Track record
Settled bets · newest first$100 result
- Over · San Marino vs. Finland: O/U 6.5$18 at 79.9¢ · Sep 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$25
- Tatiana Prozorova · Singapore Open: Tatiana Prozorova vs Alexandra Eala$2,271 at 21¢ · Sep 24 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$376
- No · Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?$4,761 at 79.5¢ · Sep 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$22,500 at 90¢ · Sep 9 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$11
- Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$618 at 18¢ · Sep 9 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Carlos Alcaraz · US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz$4,652 at 54.8¢ · Sep 9 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Inaki Montes · Manacor: Inaki Montes vs Jack Pinnington Jones$23,724 at 94¢ · Sep 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$6
- Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · US Open WTA: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Elena Rybakina$922 at 17¢ · Sep 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?$97,119 at 94.4¢ · Aug 31 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$6
- Yes · Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$26,520 at 87.4¢ · Aug 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$14
- No · Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$4,362 at 80.6¢ · Aug 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$24
- Under · Carbajal vs. Cosano: Match O/U 22.5$833 at 32.9¢ · Aug 25 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Under · Carbajal vs. Cosano: Match O/U 21.5$401 at 20¢ · Aug 25 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Alexander Zverev Win the Cincinnati Open?$347 at 28¢ · Aug 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Andrew Paulson · Prague: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Andrew Paulson$19,352 at 46.9¢ · Aug 16 · void · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- Under · RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: O/U 4.5$1,021 at 50.7¢ · Aug 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $127left out of every figure—
- No · National Bank Open: Completed Match: Cash/Nakashima vs Arevalo/Pavic$127 at 98.9¢ · Aug 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
- Sloane Stephens · National Bank Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Sloane Stephens$8,571 at 34.4¢ · Aug 1 · void · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- Emerson Jones · National Bank Open, Qualification: Taylah Preston vs Emerson Jones$4,072 at 48.3¢ · Aug 1 · void · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- Katarzyna Kawa · Hamburg European Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Paula Badosa$138 at 38.6¢ · Jul 22 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $8left out of every figure—
- No · Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8 at 98.8¢ · Jul 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
- Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,386 at 12.6¢ · Jul 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$694
- Under · Guzman vs. Pareja: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5$34 at 49¢ · Jul 15 · void · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- Yes · Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4,076 at 1¢ · Jul 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$490 at 19.9¢ · Jul 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$402
- Yes · Will Argentina be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup?$35 at 63¢ · Jul 8 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$59
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $70left out of every figure—
- No · Will Colombia be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup?$70 at 97.8¢ · Jul 8 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$2
- ZEDI Esports · Dota 2: ZEDI Esports vs GamerLegion (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A$112 at 23.7¢ · Jul 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$28,028 at 86.6¢ · Jul 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$16
- Yes · Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$59 at 8.6¢ · Jul 6 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$7,495 at 96.4¢ · Jul 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$4
- Duckworth/Kecmanovic · Wimbledon ATP (Doubles): Duckworth/Kecmanovic vs Bonzi/Rinderknech$49 at 49¢ · Jul 2 · void · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- No · Will Mirra Andreeva be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$623 at 85.8¢ · Jul 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$17
- Yes · Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?$5,460 at 78¢ · Jul 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$28
- No · Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?$12,215 at 95.9¢ · Jul 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$4
- No · Will Paraguay reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$527 at 79.3¢ · Jun 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Prizmic · Set Handicap: Prizmic (-2.5) vs Walton (+2.5)$36 at 16.5¢ · Jun 29 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $519left out of every figure—
- No · Milan: Completed Match: Sumit Nagal vs Francesco Passaro$519 at 99¢ · Jun 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
- Over · DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5$168 at 59¢ · Jun 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$69
- Yes · Will Scotland be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?$770 at 77¢ · Jun 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$30
- No · Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,381 at 65.5¢ · Jun 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$53
- Yes · Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?$1,515 at 54¢ · Jun 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$85
- Yes · Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?$630 at 19.9¢ · Jun 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$402
- No · Will Paraguay be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?$1,305 at 87¢ · Jun 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$15
- Yes · Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2,532 at 87.2¢ · Jun 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$15
- Yes · Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?$9 at 63¢ · Jun 25 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$1,311 at 92¢ · Jun 23 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$9
- Over · Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5$1,710 at 45¢ · Jun 22 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$122
- Yes · Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?$1,501 at 89¢ · Jun 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$12
- Yes · Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?$4,530 at 45.4¢ · Jun 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
The newest 50 bets are listed; the figures above count all 119 settled bets.
10 more open bets
No · Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?
$12,332 at 86¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 86¢ pays $116Yes · Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?
$7,772 at 86.8¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 86.8¢ pays $115Yes · Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
$6,235 at 72¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 72¢ pays $139Yes · Will Ilias Bulaid win by KO or TKO?
$4,423 at 48¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 48¢ pays $208No · Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
$4,036 at 47.4¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 47.4¢ pays $211Yes · Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
$2,909 at 48¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 48¢ pays $209Yes · Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22?
$106 at 64.5¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 64.5¢ pays $155Yes · Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
$43 at 40¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 40¢ pays $250Yes · Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?
$9 at 5.2¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 5.2¢ pays $1,934Tallon Griekspoor · China Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Andrey Rublev
$8 at 38¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 38¢ pays $263
By topic · $100 →
- Other87 bets$69
- Sports20 bets$153
- Politics12 bets$142
Polymarket’s own figures: realized +$362,560 · unrealized +$1,940 · profile ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Realized and unrealized
Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket's own figures for this wallet, read from its public data API and labelled as such. TapeXray computes neither, and unrealized never appears in a headline.
Not verified yet — 24 of 30 settled bets
- 24 of 30 settled bets in the last 90 days
- Cautious estimate: $66.40 back per $100 — needs to be above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (39 left out). Checked 2026-09-30 02:28 UTC.
Free Telegram alerts. Example:
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Fine print
- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public, and nothing else is inferred. The verified tick is earned from the record on every export, never granted by hand.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did, at what price, and what $100 would pay at the live price. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
- Whose figures. “$100 on each bet” counts settled bets at the whale’s own price; bets at 97¢ or more are left out, and fees and slippage are not in it. Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket’s own, from its public data API.
- Report an error or ask for a handle to be removed: contact. How the $100 figure and the tick work: methodology.
Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0xad89f899f1524533adfd1e6a07da692fcd92f6e1 · ← All whale receipts