No · Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
$105,666 at 96.1¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 96.1¢ pays $104
ThanksGivingTurkey10010xbace…3429
Every $100 on their bets came back as $98.12 · 126 bets settled since Feb 7
Not verified yet — cautious estimate not above $100
- 64 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $87.92 back per $100 — needs to be above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (23 left out). Checked 2026-09-30 02:28 UTC.
Best at Sports · $100 → $129last 10
Open bets you can still get in on
No · Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
$79,405 at 94.9¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 94.9¢ pays $105No · Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
$28,419 at 82.9¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 82.9¢ pays $121
Watch in this browser
Track record
Settled bets · newest first$100 result
- No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$7,613 at 87¢ · Sep 9 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$15
- No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$5,567 at 84.2¢ · Sep 9 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$19
- No · Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?$499 at 67.3¢ · Sep 3 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$49
- Yes · Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?$2,036 at 70¢ · Sep 3 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 150m by August 31?$269 at 90.8¢ · Sep 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$10
- Yes · Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?$18 at 15¢ · Sep 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?$1,957 at 34¢ · Sep 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?$58 at 35.3¢ · Sep 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?$21,016 at 96.1¢ · Aug 31 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$4
- Yes · Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?$1,490 at 95¢ · Aug 31 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$5
- No · Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by August 31?$127 at 82¢ · Aug 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Solana reach $110 August 17-23?$392 at 9.5¢ · Aug 24 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Ethereum reach $2,500 August 17-23?$790 at 31.8¢ · Aug 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$214
- No · Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in August?$3,504 at 95.8¢ · Aug 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Daniil Medvedev · Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedev$141 at 84.7¢ · Aug 18 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?$7,614 at 81.2¢ · Aug 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 3-9?$3,601 at 77.1¢ · Aug 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$30
- No · Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 7?$10,292 at 96.2¢ · Aug 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$4
- Yes · Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 7?$38 at 38¢ · Aug 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $14,745left out of every figure—
- No · Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on August 6?$14,745 at 98.3¢ · Aug 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$2
- Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$100 at 60¢ · Aug 6 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$67
- Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$200 at 89¢ · Aug 6 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$12
- Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$200 at 95¢ · Aug 6 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$5
- No · Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $312 Week of August 3 2026?$156 at 44.5¢ · Aug 6 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$25 at 6¢ · Aug 6 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$50 at 42.4¢ · Aug 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$25 at 46¢ · Aug 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$117
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $2,982left out of every figure—
- No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$2,982 at 98.1¢ · Aug 5 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$2
- No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?$11,133 at 97¢ · Aug 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$3
- Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$25 at 58¢ · Aug 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$72
- No · Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in July?$2,821 at 91.5¢ · Jul 31 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$9
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $547left out of every figure—
- No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?$547 at 97.4¢ · Jul 31 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$3
- No · Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 in July?$1,979 at 71.1¢ · Jul 31 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$41
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $3,920left out of every figure—
- No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$3,920 at 98¢ · Jul 31 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$2
- No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?$203 at 95¢ · Jul 31 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$5
- No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$20,692 at 94.8¢ · Jul 31 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$6
- Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$60 at 32.1¢ · Jul 31 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$6,684 at 92¢ · Jul 31 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$2,102 at 55.5¢ · Jul 23 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$80
- No · 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14?$82 at 90.6¢ · Jul 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$10
- Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$1,053 at 68¢ · Jul 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$47
- Yes · Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 21?$10,060 at 92¢ · Jul 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$9
- No · Will 4+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$45 at 81.7¢ · Jul 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$22
- No · Will 5+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,036 at 68.8¢ · Jul 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$45
- Yes · Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?$36 at 20¢ · Jul 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$400
- Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$154 at 15.4¢ · Jul 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$549
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $34,231left out of every figure—
- No · World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?$34,231 at 97.5¢ · Jul 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$3
- Yes · World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?$7,353 at 86¢ · Jul 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$16
- No · Will 9+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$21 at 42¢ · Jul 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Over · Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5$5,756 at 76.4¢ · Jul 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
The newest 50 bets are listed; the figures above count all 126 settled bets.
42 more open bets
No · Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
$16,434 at 94.8¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 94.8¢ pays $105Yes · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
$9,637 at 64.2¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 64.2¢ pays $156No · Will XRP dip to $1.20 in September?
$6,879 at 95.3¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 95.3¢ pays $105Yes · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
$6,554 at 97¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 97¢ pays $103No · Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
$5,546 at 79.1¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 79.1¢ pays $126No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
$5,092 at 91¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 91¢ pays $110No · Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
$4,816 at 75.1¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 75.1¢ pays $133No · Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?
$4,307 at 90¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 90¢ pays $111Yes · Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
$4,261 at 31.3¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 31.3¢ pays $319No · Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?
$4,005 at 85.3¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 85.3¢ pays $117Yes · Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
$3,780 at 25.2¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 25.2¢ pays $397No · Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?
$3,484 at 55.8¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 55.8¢ pays $179No · Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
$3,029 at 86.2¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 86.2¢ pays $116No · Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
$2,609 at 66.4¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 66.4¢ pays $151Yes · Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
$2,146 at 89.9¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 89.9¢ pays $111No · Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?
$1,946 at 86¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 86¢ pays $116No · Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September?
$1,784 at 93.5¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 93.5¢ pays $107No · Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?
$1,769 at 91¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 91¢ pays $110No · Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
$1,524 at 15.2¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 15.2¢ pays $656No · Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
$1,505 at 85¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 85¢ pays $118No · Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
$1,463 at 80.5¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 80.5¢ pays $124No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
$1,395 at 93¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 93¢ pays $108No · Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31?
$1,286 at 84.5¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 84.5¢ pays $118No · Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,000 by end of December?
$934 at 94.4¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 94.4¢ pays $106Anthropic · Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
$930 at 93¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 93¢ pays $108Yes · Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
$913 at 77¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 77¢ pays $130No · Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
$909 at 80¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 80¢ pays $125No · Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?
$794 at 93¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 93¢ pays $108No · Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31?
$767 at 83.3¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 83.3¢ pays $120No · Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?
$531 at 80¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 80¢ pays $125No · Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31?
$528 at 89¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 89¢ pays $112No · Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
$300 at 73¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 73¢ pays $137Yes · Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
$258 at 66¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 66¢ pays $152Yes · Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
$235 at 67¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 67¢ pays $149No · Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
$140 at 68¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 68¢ pays $147No · Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?
$128 at 83.3¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 83.3¢ pays $120No · Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31?
$86 at 64.7¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 64.7¢ pays $154Yes · Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
$36 at 60¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 60¢ pays $167No · Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?
$34 at 64¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 64¢ pays $156No · Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026?
$4 at 82¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 82¢ pays $122Yes · Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31?
$3 at 53¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 53¢ pays $189No · Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?
$2 at 90¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 90¢ pays $111
By topic · $100 →
- Other64 bets$91
- Sports34 bets$129
- Crypto25 bets$82
- Politics2 bets$52
- Tech1 bets$0
Polymarket’s own figures: realized +$52,263 · unrealized +$17,837 · profile ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Realized and unrealized
Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket's own figures for this wallet, read from its public data API and labelled as such. TapeXray computes neither, and unrealized never appears in a headline.
Not verified yet — cautious estimate not above $100
- 64 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $87.92 back per $100 — needs to be above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (23 left out). Checked 2026-09-30 02:28 UTC.
Free Telegram alerts. Example:
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Fine print
- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public, and nothing else is inferred. The verified tick is earned from the record on every export, never granted by hand.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did, at what price, and what $100 would pay at the live price. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
- Whose figures. “$100 on each bet” counts settled bets at the whale’s own price; bets at 97¢ or more are left out, and fees and slippage are not in it. Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket’s own, from its public data API.
- Report an error or ask for a handle to be removed: contact. How the $100 figure and the tick work: methodology.
Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0xbace5a5a9e309d69164dc81788d353fed8d43429 · ← All whale receipts