Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the CA-13 House seat?
$3,724 at 93.9¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 93.9¢ pays $107
0xcbab…9a8a
Every $100 on their bets came back as $94.32 · 106 bets settled since Jun 18
Not verified yet — 17 of 30 settled bets
- 17 of 30 settled bets in the last 90 days
- Cautious estimate: $84.91 back per $100 — needs to be above $100
- Last fill 1 days ago — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (135 left out). Checked 2026-09-30 02:28 UTC.
Best at Politics · $100 → $91last 10
Open bets you can still get in on
Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the CA-42 House seat?
$3,298 at 95¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 95¢ pays $105No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?
$2,993 at 91¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 91¢ pays $110
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Track record
Settled bets · newest first$100 result
8 bets at 97¢ or more · $15,390left out of every figure—
- Bears · Eagles vs. Bears$10,050 at 99.5¢ · Sep 29 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
- Miami (FL) · Central Michigan vs. Miami (FL)$335 at 99.9¢ · Sep 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- Penn State · Wisconsin vs. Penn State$151 at 97.1¢ · Sep 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Florida State · Central Arkansas vs. Florida State$741 at 99.9¢ · Sep 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- Duquesne · Rio Grande vs. Duquesne$589 at 99.9¢ · Sep 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- Texas · Texas vs. Tennessee$2,860 at 99¢ · Sep 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
- Ohio State · Illinois vs. Ohio State$409 at 98.6¢ · Sep 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
- Texas Tech · Sam Houston vs. Texas Tech$256 at 99.8¢ · Sep 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- No · Will Tom Steyer win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by more than 5%?$43 at 92.6¢ · Jul 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$8
- No · Will Chad Bianco win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election?$49 at 95.4¢ · Jul 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$5
- No · Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Diego County?$28 at 92¢ · Jul 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$9
4 bets at 97¢ or more · $1,692left out of every figure—
- No · Will Tony Thurmond finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Diego County?$358 at 98.4¢ · Jul 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$2
- No · Will Katie Porter finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Diego County?$568 at 98.5¢ · Jul 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$2
- No · Will Matt Mahan finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Diego County?$479 at 98.4¢ · Jul 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$2
- No · Will Chad Bianco finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Diego County?$287 at 97.4¢ · Jul 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$3
- No · Will Katie Porter finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Santa Clara County?$95 at 94¢ · Jul 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$6
- No · Will Matt Mahan finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Santa Clara County?$276 at 92.9¢ · Jul 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$8
- No · Will Antonio Villaraigosa finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Santa Clara County?$80 at 94.6¢ · Jul 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$6
- No · Will Katie Porter finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Francisco City and County?$37 at 92.3¢ · Jul 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$8
- Yes · Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Francisco City and County?$8 at 14¢ · Jul 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Katie Porter finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Orange County?$17 at 90¢ · Jul 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$11
- No · Will Chad Bianco finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Francisco City and County?$208 at 96.8¢ · Jul 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$3
- No · Will Matt Mahan finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Francisco City and County?$37 at 92.3¢ · Jul 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$8
- No · Will Katie Porter finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Los Angeles County?$942 at 84.8¢ · Jul 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$18
- No · Will Tony Thurmond finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Los Angeles County?$412 at 93.7¢ · Jul 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$7
- No · Will Chad Bianco finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Los Angeles County?$4,060 at 92.3¢ · Jul 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$8
- No · Will Matt Mahan finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Los Angeles County?$335 at 93.2¢ · Jul 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$7
2 bets at 97¢ or more · $3,514left out of every figure—
- Yes · Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?$3,338 at 97.8¢ · Jul 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$2
- No · Will Antonio Villaraigosa finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Los Angeles County?$175 at 97¢ · Jul 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$3
- Yes · Will Antonio Villaraigosa finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Los Angeles County?$55 at 84.1¢ · Jul 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$310 at 80.6¢ · Jul 6 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$24
- Yes · Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1,377 at 20.9¢ · Jul 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?$931 at 95.1¢ · Jun 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$5
- Yes · SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?$1,726 at 81¢ · Jun 30 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$23
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $77left out of every figure—
- San Diego Padres · Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres$77 at 99¢ · Jun 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
- No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?$18,274 at 92¢ · Jun 24 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $44left out of every figure—
- Down · WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 22?$44 at 97¢ · Jun 22 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$3
- Yes · Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$1,127 at 86.9¢ · Jun 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$15
- Yes · Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$2,283 at 78.6¢ · Jun 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$47 at 94.5¢ · Jun 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$6
- No · Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$129 at 95.1¢ · Jun 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$5
- No · US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$276 at 92¢ · Jun 18 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$9
- No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?$8,008 at 85.2¢ · Jun 17 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
2 bets at 97¢ or more · $1,156left out of every figure—
- No · Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?$1,053 at 99.7¢ · Jun 16 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- Germany · Spread: Germany (-1.5)$103 at 99.8¢ · Jun 14 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of June 8 2026?$1,302 at 94¢ · Jun 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$6
4 bets at 97¢ or more · $1,693left out of every figure—
- Washington Nationals · Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants$141 at 99.8¢ · Jun 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Raji Rab advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$1,353 at 99.7¢ · Jun 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- No · Will Ian Calderon advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$99 at 99.7¢ · Jun 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
- No · Will David Serpa advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$100 at 99.7¢ · Jun 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)$0
The newest 50 bets are listed; the figures above count all 106 settled bets.
16 more open bets
No · Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
$2,866 at 86¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 86¢ pays $116No · Will the Republican Party win the CA-42 House seat?
$2,726 at 95¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 95¢ pays $105No · Republican House odds hit 15% by October 31?
$1,855 at 85¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 85¢ pays $118No · Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
$1,733 at 52¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 52¢ pays $192Yes · Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?
$1,733 at 10.7¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 10.7¢ pays $935No · Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
$1,700 at 51¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 51¢ pays $196No · Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
$959 at 71¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 71¢ pays $141Yes · Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$607 at 7.8¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 7.8¢ pays $1,282Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?
$564 at 56.4¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 56.4¢ pays $177Yes · Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?
$517 at 92¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 92¢ pays $109Yes · Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$145 at 29¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 29¢ pays $345No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in October?
$70 at 92¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 92¢ pays $109No · Israel Election: Joint List Effectively Banned?
$43 at 86¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 86¢ pays $116Yes · Will the Democrats win Denton County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?
$20 at 50¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 50¢ pays $200No · Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
$13 at 95¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 95¢ pays $105Yes · Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat?
$2 at 62¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 62¢ pays $161
By topic · $100 →
- Other54 bets$87
- Politics31 bets$91
- Sports16 bets$107
- Crypto2 bets$198
- Tech2 bets$146
- Economy1 bets$108
Polymarket’s own figures: realized +$74,471 · unrealized +$908 · profile ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Realized and unrealized
Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket's own figures for this wallet, read from its public data API and labelled as such. TapeXray computes neither, and unrealized never appears in a headline.
Not verified yet — 17 of 30 settled bets
- 17 of 30 settled bets in the last 90 days
- Cautious estimate: $84.91 back per $100 — needs to be above $100
- Last fill 1 days ago — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (135 left out). Checked 2026-09-30 02:28 UTC.
Free Telegram alerts. Example:
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Fine print
- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public, and nothing else is inferred. The verified tick is earned from the record on every export, never granted by hand.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did, at what price, and what $100 would pay at the live price. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
- Whose figures. “$100 on each bet” counts settled bets at the whale’s own price; bets at 97¢ or more are left out, and fees and slippage are not in it. Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket’s own, from its public data API.
- Report an error or ask for a handle to be removed: contact. How the $100 figure and the tick work: methodology.
Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0xcbab47f889ffffbb603f600a5feeb0eca0cc9a8a · ← All whale receipts