No · Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
$40,746 at 67.9¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 67.9¢ pays $147
SaylorMoon0xecb1…5da3
Every $100 on their bets came back as $87.12 · 202 bets settled since Jan 10
Not verified yet — cautious estimate not above $100
- 46 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $80.27 back per $100 — needs to be above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (51 left out). Checked 2026-09-30 02:28 UTC.
Best at Sports · $100 → $84last 10
Open bets you can still get in on
No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$36,569 at 67.2¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 67.2¢ pays $149Yes · Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
$6,894 at 7.8¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 7.8¢ pays $1,279
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Track record
Settled bets · newest first$100 result
- Bears · Eagles vs. Bears$4,608 at 36¢ · Sep 29 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$178
- Saints · Spread: Saints (-3.5)$4,626 at 49¢ · Sep 28 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Chargers · Chargers vs. Bills$2,147 at 25¢ · Sep 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Texans · Texans vs. Colts$2,392 at 30.7¢ · Sep 27 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Colts · Colts vs. Chiefs$3,250 at 30¢ · Sep 21 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Titans · Eagles vs. Titans$3,033 at 26¢ · Sep 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Vikings · Vikings vs. Bears$2,267 at 34¢ · Sep 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$194
- Under · Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5$2,519 at 68¢ · Sep 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Vikings · Packers vs. Vikings$5,600 at 56¢ · Sep 14 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$79
- Yes · Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?$48 at 24.3¢ · Sep 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$312
- Panthers · Bears vs. Panthers$12,990 at 31.1¢ · Sep 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Colts · Ravens vs. Colts$4,114 at 41¢ · Sep 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Jets · Jets vs. Titans$4,922 at 49¢ · Sep 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$104
- Aryna Sabalenka · US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina$2,441 at 34.9¢ · Sep 13 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s US Open?$3,541 at 95.2¢ · Sep 9 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$5
- Mirra Andreeva · US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Anastasia Potapova$12,392 at 90.7¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$10
- Yes · Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open?$432 at 6.7¢ · Sep 7 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 6, 2026?$1,223 at 39.2¢ · Sep 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$155
- Yes · Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 7, 2026?$432 at 50¢ · Sep 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$100
- Yes · Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?$304 at 13¢ · Sep 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$667
- Diana Shnaider · US Open WTA: Taylor Townsend vs Diana Shnaider$3,962 at 57¢ · Sep 4 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will "Sorry Scusa Lo Siento" by Pinguini Tattici Nucleari win RTL 102.5 Power Hits Estate 2026?$163 at 38.4¢ · Sep 2 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will "Sorry Scusa Lo Siento" by Pinguini Tattici Nucleari win RTL 102.5 Power Hits Estate 2026?$979 at 58.4¢ · Sep 2 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$71
- Yes · Will Caroline Dubé win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?$42 at 5¢ · Sep 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- San Francisco Giants · San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves$3,432 at 28.1¢ · Sep 1 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$256
- AC Milan · Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)$411 at 18¢ · Aug 23 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $3,176left out of every figure—
- No · Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?$3,176 at 99.1¢ · Aug 14 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
- No · Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$350 at 63.3¢ · Aug 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$58
- Yes · Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$3,151 at 56.6¢ · Aug 12 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$281 at 33.5¢ · Jul 26 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$199
2 bets at 97¢ or more · $106left out of every figure—
- No · Will Santiago Ponzinibbio win by KO or TKO?$50 at 99¢ · Jul 25 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
- Yes · Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?$57 at 99¢ · Jul 25 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
- Yes · Will Trump say "Transgender" during White House Correspondents Dinner?$524 at 26¢ · Jul 25 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?$241 at 52¢ · Jul 24 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$92
- No · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$31,098 at 91.9¢ · Jul 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$9
- Yes · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$53 at 27.6¢ · Jul 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$223 at 1.6¢ · Jul 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$19,705 at 89.9¢ · Jul 20 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$11
- No · Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$863 at 40¢ · Jul 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$98 at 78¢ · Jul 19 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$28
- Yes · Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$153 at 59¢ · Jul 18 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$69
- Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$10 at 57¢ · Jul 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Under · England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5$1,293 at 23.2¢ · Jul 15 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- No · Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$989 at 25.1¢ · Jul 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)−$100
- Yes · Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$78 at 56¢ · Jul 10 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$79
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $15,288left out of every figure—
- St. Louis Cardinals · Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)$15,288 at 98.8¢ · Jul 9 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
- Under · Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 10.5$10,535 at 90¢ · Jul 9 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$11
- Under · Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 11.5$20,012 at 90.6¢ · Jul 9 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$10
- Under · Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5$4,755 at 95¢ · Jul 9 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$5
1 bet at 97¢ or more · $8,865left out of every figure—
- Under · Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5$8,865 at 98.6¢ · Jul 8 · tx ↗ (opens in a new tab)+$1
The newest 50 bets are listed; the figures above count all 202 settled bets.
7 more open bets
No · Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
$6,648 at 52.3¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 52.3¢ pays $191Yes · Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
$5,224 at 76.9¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 76.9¢ pays $130No · Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$5,200 at 52¢
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 52¢ pays $192Yes · Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 150k?
$2,616 at 88.2¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 88.2¢ pays $113No · Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 200k?
$780 at 79.8¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 79.8¢ pays $125No · Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 100k?
$1 at 0.33¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 0.33¢ pays $30,303No · Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
$0 at 85.3¢ ·
Get in on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)$100 at 85.3¢ pays $117
By topic · $100 →
- Other91 bets$76
- Sports59 bets$84
- Culture25 bets$83
- Politics20 bets$77
- Tech4 bets$354
- Crypto3 bets$221
Polymarket’s own figures: realized +$494,146 · unrealized +$18,781 · profile ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Realized and unrealized
Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket's own figures for this wallet, read from its public data API and labelled as such. TapeXray computes neither, and unrealized never appears in a headline.
Not verified yet — cautious estimate not above $100
- 46 bets settled in the last 90 days — 30 is the minimum
- Cautious estimate: $80.27 back per $100 — needs to be above $100
- Active today — within the last 14 days
Bets at 97¢ or more don't count (51 left out). Checked 2026-09-30 02:28 UTC.
Free Telegram alerts. Example:
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Fine print
- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public, and nothing else is inferred. The verified tick is earned from the record on every export, never granted by hand.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did, at what price, and what $100 would pay at the live price. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
- Whose figures. “$100 on each bet” counts settled bets at the whale’s own price; bets at 97¢ or more are left out, and fees and slippage are not in it. Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket’s own, from its public data API.
- Report an error or ask for a handle to be removed: contact. How the $100 figure and the tick work: methodology.
Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0xecb14ac6e9ca447ce2f2912e6217b43d7b655da3 · ← All whale receipts