BOUGHT No $12,521 @ 99.9¢ — Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
Polymarket wallet · 0x2d99…4ca3 · “scout” on Polymarket · “generalist”
Wallet 0x2d99…4ca3 — 264–14 on Polymarket
Wallet 0x2d99…4ca3 is 264–14 on resolved Polymarket markets since 2026-02-18: 279 positions held to resolution, realized P&L +$287,935 as reported by Polymarket's data API, 1003 fills on record, each linked to its Polygon transaction. Unrealized P&L is shown separately. Graded 2026-09-29 21:17 UTC.
Record
How the record is counted
| Category | W | L | Void | Exited early | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All | 264 | 14 | 1 | 708 | 10 |
| Other | 170 | 11 | 1 | 503 | 8 |
| Politics | 61 | 0 | 0 | 138 | 2 |
| Crypto | 13 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 0 |
| Economy | 9 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 0 |
| Tech | 7 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 0 |
| Culture | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| Sports | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| Weather | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Realized and unrealized
Unrealized on open positions: +$590 (venue figure, not counted above).
Receipts
How a receipt is graded
1,003 fills on record since 2026-02-18; the newest 300 shown.
- open — unrealized
BOUGHT No $18,956 @ 99.9¢ — Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $10,272 @ 99.8¢ — US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $32,156 @ 99.9¢ — Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $13,023 @ 99.9¢ — Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $306 @ 96¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $85,256 @ 99.9¢ — Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $201 @ 95.9¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $11,564 @ 99.9¢ — EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $10,437 @ 99.8¢ — EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $35,279 @ 99.8¢ — US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $7,550 @ 99.6¢ — Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $6,963 @ 99.8¢ — US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $9,960 @ 99.6¢ — Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,446 @ 99.5¢ — US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $13,817 @ 99.8¢ — Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $199 @ 99.2¢ — Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $30 @ 99.2¢ — Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $199 @ 99.2¢ — Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $199 @ 99.2¢ — Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $199 @ 99.2¢ — Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $199 @ 99.2¢ — Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $102 @ 99¢ — Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $707 @ 99.8¢ — Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $69 @ 99.9¢ — Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $111 @ 99¢ — US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $516 @ 99.9¢ — Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $95 @ 99.9¢ — Will the Russian Party of Pensioners for Social Justice win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $27 @ 99.9¢ — Will the Russian Party of Pensioners for Social Justice win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $300 @ 99.9¢ — Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $60,658 @ 99.9¢ — Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $54,065 @ 99.9¢ — Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $935 @ 99.9¢ — Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $738 @ 99.7¢ — Will the Russian Party of Pensioners for Social Justice win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $696 @ 99.7¢ — Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $149,850 @ 99.9¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,200 @ 99.5¢ — Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $866 @ 99.7¢ — Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $568 @ 97.1¢ — Will Rodina win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $7,440 @ 99¢ — Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $350 @ 24¢ — Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $227 @ 49.3¢ — Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $88,468 @ 99.7¢ — Will the Russian Ecological Party “The Greens” win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $997 @ 99.7¢ — Will the Russian Ecological Party “The Greens” win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $997 @ 99.7¢ — Will the Russian Ecological Party “The Greens” win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $13,460 @ 99.6¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $49,498 @ 99¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $12,469 @ 98.8¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $100,786 @ 98.6¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $23,817 @ 98¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $334 @ 61¢ — Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $19 @ 94.1¢ — Will the Russian Party of Pensioners for Social Justice win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $91 @ 97.2¢ — Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $27,870 @ 92.9¢ — Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $523 @ 96.9¢ — US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $204 @ 92¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $615 @ 95¢ — US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 94¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $132 @ 89.2¢ — Will the Russian Party of Pensioners for Social Justice win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $8,400 @ 84¢ — Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $49,826 @ 99.7¢ — Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $105 @ 80.6¢ — Will the Russian Ecological Party “The Greens” win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $229 @ 89.9¢ — Will the Russian Ecological Party “The Greens” win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $17,614 @ 99.8¢ — Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,460 @ 73¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $99,599 @ 99.6¢ — Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $22,786 @ 99.6¢ — Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $8,350 @ 99.9¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓disputedBOUGHT Yes $224 @ 70¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $39 @ 80.5¢ — Will Rodina win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $7,277 @ 95¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓disputedBOUGHT Yes $665 @ 94¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓disputedBOUGHT Yes $1,688 @ 94¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $1,904 @ 92¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓disputedBOUGHT Yes $372 @ 95.6¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,259 @ 90¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓disputedBOUGHT Yes $723 @ 89.6¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $1,320 @ 87¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓disputedBOUGHT Yes $12 @ 79.3¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $447 @ 95.9¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $134 @ 89.5¢ — Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $984 @ 98.4¢ — Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,827 @ 93.7¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $546 @ 93.3¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $915 @ 87¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $194 @ 97¢ — US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,469 @ 99.1¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $480 @ 86.6¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓disputedBOUGHT Yes $1,035 @ 87¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $72 @ 86.2¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $672 @ 67.2¢ — Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $10,967 @ 99.7¢ — Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $448 @ 92¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $880 @ 88¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓disputedBOUGHT No $622 @ 95.5¢ — Will the Russian Party of Pensioners for Social Justice win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $213 @ 96¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,449 @ 86¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $909 @ 86¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $201 @ 90¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,750 @ 95¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $172 @ 86¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $2,202 @ 87.9¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $85 @ 80¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $3,160 @ 79¢ — Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $176 @ 78¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $505 @ 85¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,305 @ 87.5¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $588 @ 93¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,393 @ 99.5¢ — Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $5,680 @ 82.9¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $215 @ 72¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $1,361 @ 99.5¢ — Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $759 @ 80.6¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $572 @ 74.5¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,058 @ 99.8¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $350M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,285 @ 98.9¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,800 @ 60¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗disputedBOUGHT No $54,700 @ 99.5¢ — Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $389 @ 38.9¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓disputedBOUGHT Yes $372 @ 37.2¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓disputedBOUGHT No $10,979 @ 99.4¢ — Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $998 @ 99.8¢ — Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,820 @ 94¢ — Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $49,700 @ 99.4¢ — Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $287 @ 62¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓disputedBOUGHT Yes $1,260 @ 63¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓disputedBOUGHT Yes $175 @ 70¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $993 @ 70¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $600 @ 60¢ — Israel closes its airspace by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $46,003 @ 99.4¢ — Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,893 @ 37.9¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓disputedBOUGHT No $3,101 @ 99.3¢ — Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $61,801 @ 99.3¢ — Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $21,220 @ 99.3¢ — Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $991 @ 99.1¢ — Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $10,347 @ 99.2¢ — Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,334 @ 99.2¢ — Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3 @ 86¢ — Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $17,523 @ 99.1¢ — Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $6,427 @ 99.2¢ — Iran full airspace closure by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $22,384 @ 99.1¢ — Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $11,076 @ 99.1¢ — Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $562 @ 99.6¢ — Iran full airspace closure by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,848 @ 99.7¢ — Iran full airspace closure by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $930 @ 99.7¢ — Iran full airspace closure by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5,633 @ 99.7¢ — Iran full airspace closure by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $99,551 @ 99.8¢ — US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $249 @ 99.7¢ — US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,846 @ 99.2¢ — Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $344 @ 99.7¢ — Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 20 minutes long? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $312 @ 88¢ — Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $130 @ 99¢ — Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $28,449 @ 99.1¢ — Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,243 @ 99.1¢ — Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $9,824 @ 99.6¢ — US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $12,245 @ 99.3¢ — Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $135 @ 98.8¢ — Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $150 @ 98.9¢ — Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,601 @ 98.8¢ — Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $123 @ 99¢ — Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $218 @ 98.9¢ — Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $300 @ 98.8¢ — Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $11,125 @ 99.1¢ — Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $279 @ 98.8¢ — Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $235 @ 98.6¢ — Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $896 @ 99.1¢ — Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $215 @ 99.5¢ — Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $7,963 @ 83¢ — Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $779 @ 99.1¢ — Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,026 @ 99.9¢ — Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $10,966 @ 99.8¢ — Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,221 @ 99.3¢ — Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,261 @ 99.2¢ — Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,135 @ 98.1¢ — Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,817 @ 98.7¢ — Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,172 @ 97.8¢ — Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $959 @ 95.9¢ — Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,886 @ 99.9¢ — Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 14? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $824 @ 99.9¢ — Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $440 @ 99.9¢ — Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $679 @ 99.9¢ — Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $430 @ 99.9¢ — Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $559 @ 99.9¢ — Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $564 @ 99.9¢ — Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $569 @ 99.9¢ — Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $624 @ 99.9¢ — Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $468 @ 99.9¢ — Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $634 @ 99.9¢ — Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $405 @ 99.9¢ — Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $584 @ 99.9¢ — Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $495 @ 99.9¢ — Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $781 @ 99.9¢ — Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $629 @ 99.9¢ — Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $595 @ 99.9¢ — Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $455 @ 99.9¢ — Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $599 @ 99.9¢ — Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $429 @ 99.9¢ — Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $524 @ 99.9¢ — Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $395 @ 99.9¢ — Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $529 @ 99.9¢ — Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $515 @ 99.9¢ — Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $954 @ 99.9¢ — Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $309 @ 99.9¢ — Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $690 @ 99.9¢ — Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $5,089 @ 99¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,844 @ 98.9¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,064 @ 98.5¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $27,283 @ 98.5¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,820 @ 98.4¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $9,494 @ 98.3¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,121 @ 96.8¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $199 @ 96.8¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $261 @ 96.8¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $387 @ 96.7¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,936 @ 96.8¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $207 @ 96.9¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $7,965 @ 96¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,052 @ 95¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $9,600 @ 96¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $9,696 @ 97¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,528 @ 95¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $200 @ 92¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $9,500 @ 95¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,136 @ 93¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $12 @ 70¢ — Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $698 @ 99.7¢ — Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $14,963 @ 99.8¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $693 @ 99¢ — Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $14,067 @ 99.8¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,638 @ 99.9¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $8,079 @ 99.6¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $5,527 @ 99.6¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $9,980 @ 99.8¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $53 @ 95.7¢ — Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4,308 @ 99.8¢ — Iran leadership change by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $426 @ 99.5¢ — Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $17,334 @ 99.5¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $9,902 @ 99¢ — U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $11,029 @ 99.9¢ — Iran leadership change by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $1,429 @ 99.7¢ — Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $299 @ 99.6¢ — Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $38,629 @ 99.9¢ — Netanyahu out by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,472 @ 99.9¢ — Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $26,646 @ 99.9¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $40,207 @ 99.9¢ — Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $161 @ 99.9¢ — Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $268 @ 99.9¢ — Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $194 @ 99.9¢ — Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $13 @ 99.9¢ — Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $194 @ 99.9¢ — Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD Yes $50 @ 93¢ — Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $6,073 @ 99.9¢ — Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $100 @ 99.8¢ — Iran leadership change by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $998 @ 99.8¢ — Iran leadership change by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $3,876 @ 94.5¢ — Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4,549 @ 99.8¢ — Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,091 @ 99.7¢ — Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $6,650 @ 99.7¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,595 @ 99.6¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $100 @ 0.1¢ — Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $7,739 @ 99.7¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $163 @ 93¢ — Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $425 @ 92¢ — Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $706 @ 98.9¢ — Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 28? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,515 @ 99.7¢ — Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $477 @ 99.4¢ — Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $1,996 @ 99.8¢ — Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,465 @ 99.9¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $4,523 @ 99.4¢ — Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,491 @ 99¢ — Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $3,491 @ 99¢ — Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $621 @ 99.7¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $17,169 @ 99.4¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $15,396 @ 99.7¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $10,902 @ 99.5¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $29,703 @ 99.2¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $605 @ 99.1¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,095 @ 99.1¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,921 @ 99.1¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $780 @ 99.9¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $10,538 @ 99¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,740 @ 87¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $445 @ 98.9¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,471 @ 98.9¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $621 @ 98.6¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $106 @ 96.5¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 23? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $341 @ 99.7¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $6,975 @ 93¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $465 @ 92.9¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $930 @ 93¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $930 @ 93¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD No $421 @ 72¢ — Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,997 @ 99.9¢ — US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $69,860 @ 99.8¢ — Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5,462 @ 99.9¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $571 @ 99.8¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $9,990 @ 99.9¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $10,999 @ 99.9¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $388 @ 99.7¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $349 @ 99.3¢ — Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealized
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Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0x2d99e29c4f066ba32098c65e4c7454b277d94ca3 · ← All whale receipts