BOUGHT Yes $1,295 @ 98.5¢ — Trump renames AI by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
Polymarket wallet · 0x44c1…ebc1 · “aenews2” on Polymarket · “generalist”
Wallet 0x44c1…ebc1 — 605–363 on Polymarket
Wallet 0x44c1…ebc1 is 605–363 on resolved Polymarket markets since 2026-06-03: 973 positions held to resolution, realized P&L +$2,881,438 as reported by Polymarket's data API, 1000 fills on record, each linked to its Polygon transaction. Unrealized P&L is shown separately. Graded 2026-09-29 21:17 UTC.
Record
How the record is counted
| Category | W | L | Void | Exited early | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All | 605 | 363 | 5 | 3108 | 80 |
| Other | 267 | 192 | 5 | 1429 | 47 |
| Politics | 190 | 103 | 0 | 1056 | 30 |
| Culture | 81 | 33 | 0 | 247 | 3 |
| Weather | 26 | 14 | 0 | 147 | 0 |
| Tech | 19 | 4 | 0 | 81 | 0 |
| Economy | 8 | 8 | 0 | 40 | 0 |
| Crypto | 8 | 5 | 0 | 64 | 0 |
| Sports | 6 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 0 |
Realized and unrealized
Unrealized on open positions: −$50,015 (venue figure, not counted above).
Receipts
How a receipt is graded
1,000 fills on record since 2026-06-03; the newest 300 shown.
- open — unrealized
BOUGHT Yes $13,494 @ 97.1¢ — Trump renames AI by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,244 @ 99¢ — Trump renames AI by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,119 @ 98.9¢ — Trump renames AI by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $989 @ 98.9¢ — Trump renames AI by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $96 @ 95.9¢ — Trump renames AI by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $216 @ 72.3¢ — Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $75 @ 71.1¢ — Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $148 @ 69¢ — Trump renames AI by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $766 @ 69.9¢ — Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $800 @ 69.9¢ — Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $235 @ 41.9¢ — Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $435 @ 58¢ — Trump renames AI by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $331 @ 26¢ — Trump renames AI by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $80 @ 80¢ — Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $42 @ 76.6¢ — Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $12 @ 79¢ — Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $26 @ 65.5¢ — Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $43 @ 77.4¢ — Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $79 @ 74.5¢ — Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $83 @ 75¢ — Trump renames AI by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,318 @ 47.8¢ — Trump renames AI by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $158 @ 74¢ — Trump renames AI by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $82 @ 34¢ — Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $58 @ 33¢ — Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $69 @ 49¢ — Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $51 @ 50.8¢ — Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,416 @ 43.4¢ — Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,026 @ 42.2¢ — Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $246 @ 98.7¢ — Will "Avengers: Endgame Encore" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $391 @ 74.8¢ — EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $410 @ 50.9¢ — EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $10 @ 57¢ — Will "Avengers: Endgame Encore" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $374 @ 27¢ — China x Philippines military clash before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $76 @ 29.6¢ — China x Philippines military clash before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $877 @ 27.9¢ — China x Philippines military clash before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $23 @ 95¢ — Will "Avengers: Endgame Encore" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $74 @ 74¢ — Will "Avengers: Endgame Encore" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $6,325 @ 73.9¢ — Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $6,900 @ 68¢ — Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $249 @ 75.4¢ — Will Donald Trump visit Alabama in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $9,475 @ 99.7¢ — Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $229 @ 99.2¢ — Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $239 @ 98.9¢ — Will Geno Ploeger win AGT Season 21? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $6,250 @ 25¢ — Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $143 @ 97¢ — Will Trump say "Terror" or "Terrorism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $128 @ 50¢ — Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,747 @ 99.9¢ — Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $22 @ 2.9¢ — Will Trump say "Alaska" this week? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,752 @ 16¢ — NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $23 @ 0.1¢ — Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $9 @ 82¢ — Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $11,527 @ 95.9¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $10,530 @ 95.9¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $12,715 @ 95.8¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $16,915 @ 96¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,955 @ 95.9¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $107 @ 58.2¢ — Will Trump praise Zohran Mamdani in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,082 @ 34.9¢ — Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $415 @ 34.9¢ — Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,335 @ 16¢ — NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $5 @ 5.1¢ — US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $14 @ 8¢ — US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $80 @ 8¢ — US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $455 @ 91¢ — Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $10 @ 23¢ — US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $363 @ 23¢ — US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $374 @ 23¢ — US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $957 @ 99.7¢ — Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $432 @ 97.9¢ — Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $16,658 @ 82¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $82 @ 82¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $10,816 @ 99.9¢ — Trump vetoes Russia sanctions bill? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $196 @ 12¢ — NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $14,333 @ 70.4¢ — Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $37 @ 69¢ — Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $975 @ 60.9¢ — Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,705 @ 13¢ — Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $796 @ 99.5¢ — Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $12 @ 29¢ — Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,207 @ 98¢ — Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $69 @ 2¢ — Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,196 @ 99.9¢ — Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens by September 19, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $64 @ 0.3¢ — Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $17 @ 84¢ — Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $36 @ 78.8¢ — Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 25, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $438 @ 62.8¢ — Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $32,244 @ 81¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $9,615 @ 81¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $82 @ 82¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $662 @ 59¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Marsborne $1,650 @ 78¢ — Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Marsborne (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier Playoffs (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $182 @ 98¢ — Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens by September 21, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $42 @ 99.9¢ — Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kaitlan Collins by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $46 @ 95¢ — Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $70,019 @ 95¢ — Israel closes its airspace by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $105 @ 90.6¢ — Will Trump pardon anyone by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $545 @ 8.5¢ — China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $13,068 @ 70.2¢ — Israel closes its airspace by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $6,176 @ 71.7¢ — Israel closes its airspace by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $161 @ 16.8¢ — Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2028? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5,044 @ 69.8¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗disputedBOUGHT No $1,252 @ 68¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗disputedBOUGHT No $1,322 @ 69¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗disputedBOUGHT Yes $98 @ 65¢ — Israel closes its airspace by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,706 @ 73.7¢ — Israel closes its airspace by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $23,208 @ 79.2¢ — Israel closes its airspace by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,739 @ 71¢ — Israel closes its airspace by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $61,501 @ 13.7¢ — Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $195 @ 62.6¢ — Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in September? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $11,078 @ 99.7¢ — Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,379 @ 99.5¢ — Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4,975 @ 99.5¢ — Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,551 @ 98¢ — Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $21,633 @ 98.3¢ — Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT $31 @ 31.2¢ — Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians AND San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT $38 @ 31.2¢ — Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians AND San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT $43 @ 31.2¢ — Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians AND San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT $44 @ 31.2¢ — Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians AND San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT $44 @ 31.2¢ — Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians AND San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT $47 @ 31.2¢ — Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians AND San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT $67 @ 31.3¢ — Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians AND San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT $66 @ 31.3¢ — Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians AND San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT $66 @ 31.3¢ — Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians AND San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT $67 @ 31.3¢ — Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians AND San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT $76 @ 31.3¢ — Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians AND San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT $86 @ 40.7¢ — San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates AND Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $0 @ 2.9¢ — Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT $4,975 @ 90¢ — New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays AND San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT $993 @ 85.2¢ — Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox AND San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT $8 @ 39¢ — San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5 AND San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT $990 @ 80¢ — Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox AND San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT $99 @ 76.3¢ — Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox AND San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $107 @ 49.4¢ — Will any state ban or pause police use of Flock cameras by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $102,035 @ 99.9¢ — Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $44,630 @ 99.8¢ — Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $38 @ 50.3¢ — Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 13, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $12 @ 60¢ — Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $119 @ 1.6¢ — Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $12,763 @ 99.8¢ — Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,000 @ 99.9¢ — Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 900m and 920m by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,293 @ 99.9¢ — Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $6,290 @ 99.8¢ — Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $12,440 @ 99.9¢ — Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be at least 26m? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $5 @ 10.2¢ — Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $67 @ 9.9¢ — Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $61 @ 99.8¢ — Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $443 @ 5¢ — Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,395 @ 89¢ — Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,993 @ 63.6¢ — Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,635 @ 63.9¢ — Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $34 @ 48.9¢ — Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,325 @ 68.8¢ — Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,288 @ 97¢ — Will Milo Yiannopoulos be deported in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $526 @ 99.6¢ — Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 900m and 920m by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $204 @ 99.7¢ — Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $786 @ 35.7¢ — Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,465 @ 55.6¢ — Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,140 @ 88.2¢ — Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $112 @ 12¢ — Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $7,183 @ 99¢ — Trump renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $41 @ 40.5¢ — Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Clara Tauson $451 @ 42¢ — Monterrey Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Clara Tauson (opens in a new tab)
resolved Clara Tauson correct ✓SOLD Yes $4,112 @ 44.2¢ — Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD Yes $46 @ 1.6¢ — Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $8,302 @ 99.8¢ — Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $14,816 @ 99.7¢ — Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $8,010 @ 37.8¢ — Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $624 @ 4.4¢ — Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,976 @ 65.7¢ — Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,756 @ 65.3¢ — Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $8,952 @ 68.2¢ — Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $196 @ 92.7¢ — Ukraine strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,094 @ 71.2¢ — Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $21,047 @ 71.3¢ — Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4,917 @ 71¢ — Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 900m and 920m by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $294 @ 34.7¢ — Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD No $3,175 @ 35.9¢ — Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $15 @ 99.9¢ — Will Donald Trump visit South Carolina in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $5 @ 80.6¢ — Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $761 @ 80.1¢ — Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $892 @ 19.7¢ — Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,833 @ 79.2¢ — Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $15 @ 87¢ — Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2028? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Iron Wing $8,200 @ 41¢ — Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4 @ 74¢ — Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $136 @ 97.4¢ — Will Mary Peltola win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $248 @ 96.9¢ — Will Dan S. Sullivan win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $50 @ 99¢ — Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $517 @ 97.8¢ — Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $900 @ 97.8¢ — Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $6,128 @ 92.9¢ — Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $46 @ 26.7¢ — Will Iran target a Arab country on August 19, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $75 @ 98.3¢ — Will Eddie Speir be the FL-16 Republican nominee? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $377 @ 98.8¢ — Will Sydney Gruters be the FL-16 Republican nominee? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $311 @ 42.4¢ — U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,125 @ 20¢ — U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $6 @ 85.9¢ — U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2 @ 2¢ — Will Trump post "Crime" on Truth Social this week? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $766 @ 98.5¢ — Will Trump post "Crime" on Truth Social this week? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $399 @ 83¢ — Will FC Bayern Munich Legends vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $21,523 @ 71.1¢ — Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $8,190 @ 67.9¢ — Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,261 @ 7.6¢ — China x Japan military clash before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,556 @ 29.7¢ — Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $223 @ 30¢ — Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $70,005 @ 99.9¢ — Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $22,128 @ 99.9¢ — Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $146 @ 84.5¢ — Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 0.2%? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $129 @ 91¢ — Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–1.2%? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $34 @ 86¢ — Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.8–1%? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $583 @ 61¢ — Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,322 @ 61.1¢ — Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $205 @ 82¢ — Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $142 @ 71¢ — Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $23 @ 58.9¢ — Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $645 @ 61¢ — Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $8 @ 19.7¢ — Will Russell Fry place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $69 @ 55¢ — Will Ralph Norman place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $3,242 @ 58.6¢ — Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $10,037 @ 56.1¢ — Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $41 @ 99¢ — Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 140m and 150m? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $28 @ 98.9¢ — Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 150m and 160m? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,845 @ 99.7¢ — Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 160m and 170m? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,029 @ 70¢ — US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $1,354 @ 69.8¢ — US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $940 @ 99.7¢ — Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $104 @ 99.8¢ — Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $96 @ 99.5¢ — Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by August 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $82 @ 4.1¢ — Exact Score: 1. FC Cologne 2 - 0 Real Sociedad San Sebastian? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Black Phoenix $12,863 @ 99.9¢ — Map Handicap: WAL (-1.5) vs Black Phoenix (+1.5) (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $14 @ 45¢ — Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $257 @ 22¢ — Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $364 @ 30.9¢ — Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $21,809 @ 34¢ — Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealized- open — unrealized
BOUGHT $10 @ 90¢ — Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso: Both Teams to Score AND Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso: O/U 2.5 (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealized- open — unrealized
BOUGHT $9 @ 90¢ — Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso: Both Teams to Score AND Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso: O/U 2.5 (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT $100 @ 90¢ — Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso: Both Teams to Score AND Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso: O/U 2.5 (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT $100 @ 90¢ — Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso: Both Teams to Score AND Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso: O/U 2.5 (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT $298 @ 90¢ — Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso: Both Teams to Score AND Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-07-24? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT $497 @ 89.9¢ — Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso: Both Teams to Score AND Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-07-24? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT $80 @ 90¢ — Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso: Both Teams to Score AND Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso: O/U 2.5 (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealized- open — unrealized
BOUGHT $80 @ 90¢ — Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso: Both Teams to Score AND Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso: O/U 2.5 (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT $498 @ 90¢ — Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso: Both Teams to Score AND Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso: O/U 2.5 (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT $498 @ 90¢ — Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso: Both Teams to Score AND Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso: O/U 2.5 (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT $298 @ 90¢ — Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso: Both Teams to Score AND Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso: O/U 2.5 (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT $498 @ 90¢ — Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso: Both Teams to Score AND Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso: O/U 2.5 (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT $9 @ 90¢ — Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso: O/U 5.5 AND Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-07-24? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT $49 @ 90¢ — Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso: O/U 5.5 AND Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-07-24? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealized- open — unrealized
- open — unrealized
- open — unrealized
- open — unrealized
- open — unrealized
- open — unrealized
- open — unrealized
- open — unrealized
- open — unrealized
- open — unrealized
BOUGHT $12 @ 90¢ — Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso: O/U 5.5 AND Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-07-24? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT $298 @ 90¢ — Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso: Both Teams to Score AND Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso: O/U 2.5 (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT $597 @ 90¢ — Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso: Both Teams to Score AND Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso: O/U 2.5 (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT $597 @ 90¢ — Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso: Both Teams to Score AND Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso: O/U 2.5 (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT $995 @ 90¢ — Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso: Both Teams to Score AND Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso: O/U 2.5 (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT $498 @ 90¢ — Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso: Both Teams to Score AND Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso: O/U 2.5 (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT $498 @ 90¢ — Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso: Both Teams to Score AND Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso: O/U 2.5 (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT $498 @ 90¢ — Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso: Both Teams to Score AND Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso: O/U 2.5 (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT $995 @ 90¢ — Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso: Both Teams to Score AND Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso: O/U 2.5 (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT $497 @ 89.9¢ — Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso: Both Teams to Score AND Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso: O/U 2.5 (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT $1,989 @ 90¢ — Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso: O/U 5.5 AND Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-07-24? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT $1,990 @ 90¢ — Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso: O/U 5.5 AND Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-07-24? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT $1,990 @ 90¢ — Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso: O/U 5.5 AND Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-07-24? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $46 @ 0.3¢ — Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $252 @ 0.3¢ — Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $375 @ 0.3¢ — Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $35 @ 99¢ — Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $20 @ 98.9¢ — Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $540 @ 52.4¢ — Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $126 @ 97.7¢ — Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $5 @ 39.7¢ — Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 20–25%? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $183 @ 3¢ — Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $262 @ 54.8¢ — Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $13 @ 10.3¢ — Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by more than 25%? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $15 @ 8¢ — Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4 @ 11¢ — Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by August 6? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $138 @ 35.4¢ — Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $96 @ 12.3¢ — Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by more than 25%? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $97 @ 14.2¢ — Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 20–25%? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $187 @ 75¢ — Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $104 @ 86¢ — Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $15 @ 65.7¢ — Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $13 @ 0.3¢ — Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $23 @ 0.54¢ — Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $14 @ 0.43¢ — Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $11 @ 0.3¢ — Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $37 @ 1¢ — Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $293 @ 86.3¢ — Will Todd Blanche be the next Attorney General? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealized
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- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public; labels in quotes are inferred from trade patterns on the venue and nothing else.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did and what the market later paid. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
- Whose figures. Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket’s own, from its public data API. The record counts positions held to resolution only.
- Report an error or ask for a handle to be removed: contact. How receipts are graded: methodology.
Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0x44c1dfe43260c94ed4f1d00de2e1f80fb113ebc1 · ← All whale receipts