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Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
43.1¢+132
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Quick answers
- Where is "Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?" cheaper right now?
- Polymarket last trade 43.1¢ (+132). No matched twin on another venue, so there is no cross-venue price to compare.
- When does "Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?" settle?
- Closes 2026-06-03. Pays Yes when: The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California.
Odds history
200 archived bid/ask quotes for "Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?" on Polymarket, 2026-10-26 to 2026-11-01.
How this market settles
- Pays Yes when
- The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California.
- Who decides
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
- When
- Closes 2026-06-03.
Read the full rules Polymarket publishes
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Heads up: Polymarket has 4 disputed resolutions in our archive. Read the rules before you bet.
What this bet really costs you
On $100 at 43¢ you pay $3.99 in fees on Kalshi
1.72¢ per contract · 232 contracts
On $100 at 43¢ you pay $2.84 in fees on Polymarket US
1.23¢ per contract · 232 contracts
Polymarket rate read from the catalog for sports_fees_v3 (15,702 markets in a sample of 20,000 rows drawn from 580,600 in the archive). Kalshi's rate is its published general schedule; the PDF has been rate-limiting fetches, so it is documented rather than verified.
Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.
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Data: Polymarket id 0x694595d0a008f10e4701285d071e4b08407495f6f8a6bd8cbdd7de522fa9b463 · ← All tracked markets