BOUGHT No $13,461 @ 98.1¢ — Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Polymarket wallet · 0x511f…cbe1 · “Bigggggggg” on Polymarket · “generalist”
Wallet 0x511f…cbe1 — 217–1595 on Polymarket
Wallet 0x511f…cbe1 is 217–1595 on resolved Polymarket markets since 2026-09-23: 1812 positions held to resolution, realized P&L +$2,225,446 as reported by Polymarket's data API, 1003 fills on record, each linked to its Polygon transaction. Unrealized P&L is shown separately. Graded 2026-09-29 21:17 UTC.
Record
How the record is counted
| Category | W | L | Void | Exited early | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All | 217 | 1595 | 0 | 8165 | 662 |
| Other | 125 | 850 | 0 | 4257 | 256 |
| Sports | 42 | 275 | 0 | 1150 | 41 |
| Politics | 23 | 217 | 0 | 1367 | 330 |
| Crypto | 5 | 106 | 0 | 395 | 0 |
| Culture | 13 | 70 | 0 | 444 | 0 |
| Weather | 1 | 37 | 0 | 137 | 0 |
| Tech | 5 | 28 | 0 | 271 | 24 |
| Economy | 3 | 12 | 0 | 144 | 11 |
Realized and unrealized
Unrealized on open positions: −$34,243 (venue figure, not counted above).
Receipts
How a receipt is graded
1,003 fills on record since 2026-09-23; the newest 300 shown.
- open — unrealized
BOUGHT No $13,621 @ 99.2¢ — Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $12,046 @ 87.7¢ — Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $45 @ 98.2¢ — Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $46 @ 99.8¢ — Will Sebastião Coelho win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $39 @ 84¢ — Will Leila do Vôlei win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $44 @ 95.3¢ — Will Erika Kokay win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,185 @ 95.3¢ — Will Erika Kokay win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,220 @ 98.1¢ — Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,044 @ 84¢ — Will Leila do Vôlei win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,240 @ 99.7¢ — Will Sebastião Coelho win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $80 @ 99.7¢ — Will Sebastião Coelho win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $78 @ 97.9¢ — Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $67 @ 84¢ — Will Leila do Vôlei win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $76 @ 95.3¢ — Will Erika Kokay win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $129 @ 86¢ — Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $148 @ 98.5¢ — Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $47 @ 90.5¢ — Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $2 @ 4.7¢ — Will Erika Kokay win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 0.8¢ — Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-13 House election by 55%-60%? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $144 @ 98.1¢ — Will China PR win on 2026-10-02? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $96 @ 97¢ — Will Erika Kokay win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $85 @ 85.6¢ — Will Leila do Vôlei win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $97 @ 98.4¢ — Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $10 @ 98.5¢ — Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $10 @ 96.8¢ — Will Erika Kokay win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $8 @ 78¢ — Will Leila do Vôlei win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $48 @ 98.2¢ — Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $48 @ 97¢ — Will Erika Kokay win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $36 @ 74¢ — Will Leila do Vôlei win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1 @ 99.6¢ — Will there be between 10 and 15 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1 @ 99.7¢ — Will there be between 15 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $2 @ 29¢ — Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 0.4¢ — Will Movistar KOI win Worlds 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $94 @ 97.9¢ — Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $91 @ 94.9¢ — Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $92 @ 96.6¢ — Will Anyone's Legend win Worlds 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $81 @ 84.4¢ — Will T1 win Worlds 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $92 @ 96.3¢ — Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $78 @ 82¢ — Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $82 @ 86¢ — Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $95 @ 99.5¢ — Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $62 @ 65¢ — Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $27 @ 76.3¢ — Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $31 @ 88.6¢ — Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $27 @ 76.4¢ — Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $32 @ 92.3¢ — Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 5 and October 11, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $24 @ 69¢ — Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 0.3¢ — Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $534 @ 79.5¢ — Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $188 @ 83.1¢ — Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $668 @ 99.6¢ — Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $653 @ 97.3¢ — Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $658 @ 98¢ — Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $590 @ 88¢ — Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $2 @ 23¢ — Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $64 @ 81.1¢ — Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $21 @ 98¢ — Will Oura's market cap be between $17.5B and $20B at market close on IPO day? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $79 @ 99.8¢ — Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $70 @ 88¢ — Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $77 @ 97.9¢ — Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $77 @ 97.6¢ — Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $62 @ 79¢ — Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $176 @ 99.8¢ — Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $139 @ 79¢ — Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $155 @ 88¢ — Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $170 @ 96.7¢ — Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $172 @ 97.9¢ — Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $142 @ 80.5¢ — Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $171 @ 97¢ — Will Oura's market cap be between $17.5B and $20B at market close on IPO day? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $54 @ 96.3¢ — Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 1.5¢ — Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $6 @ 18.4¢ — Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 1.5¢ — Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1 @ 0.4¢ — Will Movistar KOI win Worlds 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $167 @ 81¢ — Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $195 @ 94.9¢ — Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $202 @ 97.9¢ — Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $198 @ 96.3¢ — Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $37 @ 85¢ — Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $134 @ 65¢ — Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $205 @ 99.5¢ — Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $204 @ 98.9¢ — Will Top Esports win Worlds 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $199 @ 96.7¢ — Will Anyone's Legend win Worlds 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $7 @ 5.1¢ — Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $29 @ 6¢ — Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1 @ 97.9¢ — Will Legacy Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1 @ 97.7¢ — Will G2 Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1 @ 79¢ — Will Vitality Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1 @ 97.6¢ — Will Natus Vincere Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1 @ 79¢ — Will Falcons Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1 @ 97¢ — Will BetBoom Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1 @ 69¢ — Will Spirit Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1 @ 95¢ — Will FURIA Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1 @ 98.2¢ — Will Aurora Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $13 @ 17¢ — Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $5 @ 4.2¢ — Will China PR win on 2026-10-02? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $2 @ 4.2¢ — Will China PR win on 2026-10-02? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $26 @ 50¢ — Will Ukraine win 2026-27 Nations League Group B2? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $148 @ 96.4¢ — Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $154 @ 99.7¢ — Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $86 @ 62¢ — Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $148 @ 95.9¢ — Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 0.1¢ — Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1 @ 16¢ — Will FURIA Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2 (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $26 @ 0.1¢ — Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 0.1¢ — Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $6 @ 1.6¢ — Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 1.5¢ — Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $8 @ 75.5¢ — Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $10 @ 95.9¢ — Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $9 @ 87.8¢ — Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $10 @ 98.4¢ — Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $10 @ 99.3¢ — Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $10 @ 98¢ — Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $10 @ 98.4¢ — Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $8 @ 81¢ — Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $22 @ 97.9¢ — Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $22 @ 98.4¢ — Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $21 @ 95.2¢ — Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $22 @ 98.3¢ — Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $18 @ 81¢ — Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $17 @ 75.6¢ — Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $22 @ 99.4¢ — Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $19 @ 87.8¢ — Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $25 @ 99.4¢ — Will China PR win on 2026-10-02? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1 @ 3.9¢ — Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 0.1¢ — Will Beyoncé be the top artist for 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 0.1¢ — Will Chappell Roan be the top artist for 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 0.1¢ — Will The Weeknd be the top artist for 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 0.1¢ — Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist for 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 0.1¢ — Will Morgan Wallen be the top artist for 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 0.1¢ — Will Sabrina Carpenter be the top artist for 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $200 @ 99.9¢ — Will The Weeknd be the top artist for 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $200 @ 99.9¢ — Will Morgan Wallen be the top artist for 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $200 @ 99.9¢ — Will Sabrina Carpenter be the top artist for 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $9 @ 90.4¢ — Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $198 @ 98.8¢ — Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $200 @ 99.9¢ — Will Chappell Roan be the top artist for 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $200 @ 99.9¢ — Will Beyoncé be the top artist for 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $200 @ 99.9¢ — Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist for 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1 @ 4.7¢ — Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 4.7¢ — Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 0.2¢ — Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 0.1¢ — Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD Yes $1 @ 15¢ — Will T1 win Worlds 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1 @ 15¢ — Will T1 win Worlds 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1 @ 15¢ — Will T1 win Worlds 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $2 @ 15¢ — Will T1 win Worlds 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $2 @ 15¢ — Will T1 win Worlds 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $2 @ 15¢ — Will T1 win Worlds 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $3 @ 15¢ — Will T1 win Worlds 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $3 @ 15¢ — Will T1 win Worlds 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $4 @ 15¢ — Will T1 win Worlds 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $5 @ 15¢ — Will T1 win Worlds 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $6 @ 15¢ — Will T1 win Worlds 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $7 @ 15¢ — Will T1 win Worlds 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $26 @ 99.3¢ — Will China PR win on 2026-10-02? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1 @ 3.8¢ — Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $2 @ 3.7¢ — Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $2 @ 3.3¢ — Will Anyone's Legend win Worlds 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $245 @ 91.2¢ — Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $256 @ 95.5¢ — Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $266 @ 99.1¢ — Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $155 @ 57.7¢ — Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $267 @ 99.8¢ — Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 2¢ — Will Jalen Duren play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 0.1¢ — Will Carlos Augusto Pérez Hernández win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $9 @ 97.3¢ — Will Floria María Hernández Hernández win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $9 @ 99.6¢ — Will Anabell Ávalos Zempoalteca win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5 @ 53.3¢ — Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $9 @ 98¢ — Will Alfonso Sánchez García win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $9 @ 99.3¢ — Will Danae Figueroa win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $5 @ 43¢ — Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $13 @ 41¢ — Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $24 @ 41¢ — Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,000 @ 29¢ — Will Romania vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? (opens in a new tab)
resolved outcome 1 correct ✓SOLD Yes $0 @ 0.2¢ — Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $97 @ 96.4¢ — Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 29, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $992 @ 99.7¢ — Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 1, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $10,333 @ 29¢ — Will Romania vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? (opens in a new tab)
resolved outcome 1 correct ✓BOUGHT No $5,088 @ 63¢ — Will Romania win on 2026-09-28? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $19,334 @ 62.4¢ — Will Romania win on 2026-09-28? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $59 @ 97.8¢ — Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 1, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $23 @ 99¢ — Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 29, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $40 @ 99.8¢ — Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 13, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $82 @ 97.7¢ — Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 1, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $84 @ 99.8¢ — Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 13, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $20 @ 97.5¢ — Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 1, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $19 @ 93.5¢ — Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 29, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $20 @ 99.8¢ — Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 13, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $38 @ 19¢ — Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $199 @ 99.7¢ — Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $53 @ 51¢ — Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1 @ 0.2¢ — Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1 @ 17.7¢ — Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 0.2¢ — Will Borja Iglesias (Celta Vigo) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4 @ 21¢ — Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $3 @ 51¢ — Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 0.1¢ — Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $15 @ 92.2¢ — Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $15 @ 94.9¢ — Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $16 @ 98.7¢ — Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $12 @ 99.7¢ — Will Salles win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $11 @ 91.9¢ — Will Simone Tebet win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $11 @ 88.7¢ — Will André do Prado win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $11 @ 95.4¢ — Will Marina Silva win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 0.1¢ — Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 2.9¢ — Will Flávio Bolsonaro win less than 30% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 2.9¢ — Will Flávio Bolsonaro win less than 30% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,966 @ 84.9¢ — Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $805 @ 83.8¢ — Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $7,153 @ 99.6¢ — Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $955 @ 99.4¢ — Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $88 @ 99.1¢ — Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $89 @ 99.6¢ — Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $71 @ 80¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $88 @ 98.3¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $210 @ 98.1¢ — Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $213 @ 99.6¢ — Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $169 @ 79¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $210 @ 98.2¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1 @ 0.1¢ — Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $8,859 @ 74.5¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $11,841 @ 99.6¢ — Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $11,673 @ 98.2¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $410 @ 99.6¢ — Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $405 @ 98.3¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $409 @ 99.2¢ — Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $11,794 @ 99.2¢ — Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 3.3¢ — Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1 @ 1.1¢ — Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $15 @ 52.7¢ — Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $28 @ 52.7¢ — Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $13 @ 17¢ — Will Northern Ireland win 2026-27 Nations League Group B2? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $18 @ 50.4¢ — Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $58 @ 90.5¢ — Will Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $49 @ 76¢ — Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $60 @ 94¢ — Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $50 @ 78.9¢ — Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $47 @ 73¢ — Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 1.2¢ — Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 0.1¢ — Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 0.1¢ — Will Vassil Terziev win the next Bulgarian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 0.1¢ — Will Rosen Zhelyazkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 0.1¢ — Will Boyko Borissov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $315 @ 99.2¢ — Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $267 @ 84¢ — Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 0.1¢ — Will Rosen Zhelyazkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 0.1¢ — Will Boyko Borissov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 0.1¢ — Will Vassil Terziev win the next Bulgarian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $52 @ 83¢ — Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $62 @ 99.1¢ — Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $30 @ 47¢ — Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $61 @ 97.3¢ — Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $63 @ 99.7¢ — Jack O'Connell announced as next James Bond? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $63 @ 99.6¢ — Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $63 @ 99.8¢ — Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $62 @ 99.2¢ — Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $63 @ 99.6¢ — Tom Francis announced as next James Bond? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $63 @ 99.8¢ — Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $19 @ 93.1¢ — Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $393 @ 99.8¢ — Richard Madden announced as next James Bond? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $392 @ 99.6¢ — Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $392 @ 99.6¢ — Tom Francis announced as next James Bond? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $393 @ 99.7¢ — Jack O'Connell announced as next James Bond? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $383 @ 97.2¢ — Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $384 @ 97.4¢ — Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $391 @ 99.2¢ — Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $393 @ 99.8¢ — Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $174 @ 78.4¢ — No one announced as next James Bond? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $215 @ 97.1¢ — Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $221 @ 99.6¢ — Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $221 @ 99.8¢ — Theo James announced as next James Bond? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $201 @ 90.9¢ — Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $221 @ 99.6¢ — Tom Francis announced as next James Bond? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $221 @ 99.7¢ — Jack O'Connell announced as next James Bond? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $221 @ 99.6¢ — Richard Madden announced as next James Bond? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $219 @ 99.1¢ — Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 0.1¢ — Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $4 @ 1.2¢ — Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $93 @ 98.7¢ — Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $93 @ 99.2¢ — Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $43 @ 45.8¢ — Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $88 @ 94¢ — Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $94 @ 99.8¢ — Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $90 @ 96.1¢ — Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $91 @ 97¢ — Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $94 @ 99.8¢ — Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1 @ 3.7¢ — Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $504 @ 99.7¢ — Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $276 @ 54.5¢ — Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $435 @ 86¢ — Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $505 @ 99.9¢ — Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $8 @ 39¢ — Will Elon tweet 880-919 times in September 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $9 @ 38¢ — Will Elon tweet 880-919 times in September 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $0 @ 0.1¢ — Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $3 @ 29¢ — Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗SOLD Yes $6 @ 29¢ — Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗SOLD Yes $0 @ 0.1¢ — Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealized
Free Telegram alerts. Example:
Get alerts (opens in a new tab)Fine print
- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public; labels in quotes are inferred from trade patterns on the venue and nothing else.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did and what the market later paid. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
- Whose figures. Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket’s own, from its public data API. The record counts positions held to resolution only.
- Report an error or ask for a handle to be removed: contact. How receipts are graded: methodology.
Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0x511f9c771449162349795d17becf8b37031acbe1 · ← All whale receipts