PolymarketPoliticsOpen

Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

25.5¢+292

last trade · closes 2026-09-14

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24h volume$1.4K
Open interest$44.0K
Lifetime volume$2.1M

Quick answers

Where is "Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?" cheaper right now?
Polymarket last trade 25.5¢ (+292). No matched twin on another venue, so there is no cross-venue price to compare.
When does "Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?" settle?
Closes 2026-09-14. Pays Yes when: Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next…

Odds history

Implied odds over timebid/askmid33%19%6%Oct 26 00:11 UTCNov 01 22:00 UTC

200 archived bid/ask quotes for "Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?" on Polymarket, 2026-10-26 to 2026-11-01.

How this market settles

hard deadline June 30, 2027

Pays Yes when
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next…
Who decides
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
When
Closes 2026-09-14.
Read the full rules Polymarket publishes

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Heads up: Polymarket has 4 disputed resolutions in our archive. Read the rules before you bet.

What this bet really costs you

  • On $100 at 26¢ you pay $5.18 in fees on Kalshi

    1.35¢ per contract · 384 contracts

  • On $100 at 26¢ you pay $3.69 in fees on Polymarket US

    0.96¢ per contract · 384 contracts

Polymarket rate read from the catalog for sports_fees_v3 (15,702 markets in a sample of 20,000 rows drawn from 580,600 in the archive). Kalshi's rate is its published general schedule; the PDF has been rate-limiting fetches, so it is documented rather than verified.

Exchange-side taker fees per each venue's published formula (rate × contracts × price × (1 − price)); contracts = stake ÷ price, rounded down to whole contracts. Fees peak at 50¢ and shrink toward the extremes. Most quoted cross-venue “arbs” are negative-EV after these fees; the taker-fee breakeven on a Kalshi/Polymarket pair is roughly 3.5–4¢.

Free channel: gaps at the next rebuild. Members: the instant one matching your watches, in your DM.

Polymarket moved 8¢ on US recession in 2026? in the last 60 minutes (12¢ → 20¢). Kalshi hasn't caught up — still sitting at 14¢.Get alerts (opens in a new tab)
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Why the board stays free
Real-time scanning costs us per scan. The 6-hour board stays free forever.

Data: Polymarket id 0x8a42bb4cb9b9f157b539611f6a8c122388f652570cfc3c07d538e7df2bb78894 · ← All tracked markets

Gaps close in hours.

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