SOLD No $140 @ 28.7¢ — Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? (opens in a new tab)
Polymarket wallet · 0x5188…c804 · “AllByMyseIf” on Polymarket · “generalist”
Wallet 0x5188…c804 — 236–118 on Polymarket
Wallet 0x5188…c804 is 236–118 on resolved Polymarket markets since 2026-05-16: 354 positions held to resolution, realized P&L +$856,557 as reported by Polymarket's data API, 1001 fills on record, each linked to its Polygon transaction. Unrealized P&L is shown separately. Graded 2026-09-29 21:17 UTC.
Record
How the record is counted
| Category | W | L | Void | Exited early | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All | 236 | 118 | 0 | 1188 | 35 |
| Politics | 107 | 49 | 0 | 430 | 18 |
| Other | 87 | 52 | 0 | 579 | 15 |
| Tech | 10 | 4 | 0 | 90 | 2 |
| Crypto | 7 | 6 | 0 | 30 | 0 |
| Economy | 7 | 5 | 0 | 34 | 0 |
| Sports | 12 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 0 |
| Culture | 6 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
| Weather | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Realized and unrealized
Unrealized on open positions: −$3,001 (venue figure, not counted above).
Receipts
How a receipt is graded
1,001 fills on record since 2026-05-16; the newest 300 shown.
- open — unrealized
BOUGHT No $191 @ 45.8¢ — Trump renames AI by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $598 @ 66.8¢ — Trump renames AI by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $630 @ 70¢ — Trump renames AI by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $149 @ 46¢ — Trump renames AI by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $523 @ 51¢ — Trump renames AI by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $11,050 @ 85¢ — Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $263 @ 16¢ — Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $771 @ 88.3¢ — Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $110 @ 31¢ — Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,149 @ 29¢ — Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,194 @ 17¢ — Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $42 @ 2.4¢ — Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,286 @ 27.6¢ — Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,131 @ 25¢ — Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,207 @ 24¢ — Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $14,149 @ 66¢ — Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $3,134 @ 38.9¢ — Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $237 @ 78¢ — Trump renames AI by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $869 @ 93¢ — Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $38 @ 2.8¢ — Will Bitget resume withdrawals by September 27, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $22 @ 5.3¢ — Will "Patient Zero" hit 80m first week streams? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $19 @ 4.4¢ — Will "Patient Zero" hit 90m first week streams? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $84 @ 3.2¢ — Will Bitget resume withdrawals by September 27, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2 @ 2.4¢ — Will "Patient Zero" hit 100m first week streams? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $336 @ 71.8¢ — Will "Patient Zero" hit 70m first week streams? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $149 @ 55¢ — Will "Patient Zero" hit 60m first week streams? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $51 @ 7.1¢ — Will "Patient Zero" hit 90m first week streams? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $9 @ 1.7¢ — Will "Patient Zero" hit 100m first week streams? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,272 @ 58.1¢ — Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $29 @ 3.1¢ — Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $562 @ 37.5¢ — Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $730 @ 33.5¢ — Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $1,723 @ 41.8¢ — Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $67 @ 4¢ — Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $379 @ 59.4¢ — Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $536 @ 49.6¢ — Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,478 @ 35.9¢ — Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $200 @ 51.2¢ — Trump renames AI by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $316 @ 60.8¢ — Trump renames AI by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $309 @ 60¢ — Trump renames AI by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $30,100 @ 86¢ — Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,498 @ 78¢ — Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,857 @ 92.7¢ — Trump renames AI by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,387 @ 93¢ — Trump renames AI by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,080 @ 64¢ — Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $64 @ 36¢ — Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $361 @ 35¢ — Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $374 @ 33¢ — Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $1,788 @ 35.1¢ — Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $391 @ 37.1¢ — Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,077 @ 60¢ — Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $30,914 @ 85¢ — Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,317 @ 80¢ — Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $136 @ 6¢ — Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $578 @ 19.9¢ — Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $195 @ 65¢ — Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $251 @ 12¢ — Will Warsh say "Trump" during September Press Conference? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $283 @ 11.9¢ — Will Warsh say "Trump" during September Press Conference? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $11 @ 88¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $732 @ 73.2¢ — Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $326 @ 62¢ — Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $465 @ 56¢ — Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $198 @ 18¢ — Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,069 @ 17¢ — Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,014 @ 81.4¢ — Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $136 @ 0.6¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $552 @ 0.7¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $1,831 @ 65.1¢ — Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $3 @ 69¢ — Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2 @ 19¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,114 @ 20¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $25 @ 21¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $630 @ 15.7¢ — Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $759 @ 99.9¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,477 @ 99.9¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $77 @ 1.9¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,650 @ 93¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $579 @ 5.8¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,815 @ 66.9¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $8,032 @ 94¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $8,089 @ 80¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $304 @ 76¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $222 @ 19¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $315 @ 96.8¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $2B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $2,874 @ 78¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $8 @ 79¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $1,708 @ 80¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $453 @ 15.1¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $858 @ 15.4¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $2,151 @ 79¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $8,966 @ 70.3¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1 @ 6¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,183 @ 52¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $764 @ 17¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $618 @ 14¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4,976 @ 40¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $267 @ 82¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $2B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $124 @ 32.6¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $75 @ 65¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,593 @ 64.8¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,646 @ 32.9¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $826 @ 72.9¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,414 @ 69¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $4 @ 35¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $60 @ 30¢ — Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $118 @ 29.5¢ — Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by June 30, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $128 @ 19.7¢ — Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by June 30, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $263 @ 20.1¢ — Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $47 @ 41¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $62 @ 24.8¢ — Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,816 @ 94¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $153 @ 72¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $100 @ 32¢ — Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $18 @ 25¢ — Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by June 30, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $189 @ 15.1¢ — Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,101 @ 87¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $626 @ 90¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $232 @ 81¢ — Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,506 @ 89.5¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $16 @ 3.2¢ — LAPTOP airdrop by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,374 @ 26¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $19 @ 4¢ — LAPTOP airdrop by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $17,998 @ 90¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $17,045 @ 97¢ — Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $153 @ 27¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $11,711 @ 88¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,730 @ 90¢ — LAPTOP airdrop by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $193 @ 63.3¢ — Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $6 @ 12¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $131 @ 73¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Thiago Seyboth Wild $5,124 @ 54¢ — Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,321 @ 29¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $38 @ 13¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,920 @ 46.3¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $6 @ 28¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $39 @ 68¢ — Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $8 @ 28¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $268 @ 51¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $145 @ 30¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $30 @ 30¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $207 @ 30¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $302 @ 13¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $159 @ 7¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $196 @ 49¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,637 @ 30.3¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $94 @ 15¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $344 @ 77¢ — LAPTOP airdrop by September 9? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,018 @ 10.7¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2 @ 6¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $2 @ 9¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $535 @ 9¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $3 @ 7¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $92 @ 7¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $165 @ 14¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $127 @ 16¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $100 @ 17¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $785 @ 14.8¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $152 @ 18.6¢ — LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $80 @ 87¢ — Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $934 @ 38.7¢ — Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,877 @ 87¢ — Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $9,625 @ 89.3¢ — Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $118 @ 82.2¢ — Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $125 @ 73.5¢ — Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by June 30, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $135 @ 65.8¢ — Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,137 @ 57¢ — Israel closes its airspace by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,025 @ 56¢ — Israel closes its airspace by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $614 @ 35.8¢ — Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $221 @ 56.3¢ — Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $923 @ 83.4¢ — Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $253 @ 93.8¢ — Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $379 @ 84.1¢ — Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $125 @ 88¢ — Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,977 @ 85.9¢ — Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,117 @ 84.8¢ — Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $78 @ 99.5¢ — Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $67 @ 41.1¢ — Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $370 @ 36.2¢ — Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $123 @ 41.9¢ — Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $772 @ 15.5¢ — Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $434 @ 33¢ — Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2 @ 6¢ — Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase August 25-31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,014 @ 64¢ — Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $56 @ 9¢ — Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $241 @ 8¢ — Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $338 @ 24.5¢ — Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $848 @ 64¢ — Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $402 @ 19.4¢ — Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1 @ 41¢ — Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $170 @ 19.6¢ — Will Warsh say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $139 @ 20.6¢ — Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $24 @ 1.3¢ — Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $20 @ 1.4¢ — Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4 @ 0.9¢ — Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $18 @ 1.4¢ — Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $39 @ 0.9¢ — Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $541 @ 75.2¢ — Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,000 @ 75¢ — Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,377 @ 74.7¢ — Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $793 @ 75¢ — Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,048 @ 74.9¢ — Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,683 @ 15¢ — Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $116 @ 17¢ — Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $674 @ 19¢ — Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $273 @ 25¢ — Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,651 @ 17¢ — Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $1,383 @ 66¢ — Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $344 @ 32.5¢ — Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $751 @ 42.8¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $16 @ 61¢ — Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,635 @ 46¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $510 @ 45¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,320 @ 44¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $7,953 @ 45¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $112 @ 71.1¢ — Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $25 @ 8¢ — Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $512 @ 99¢ — Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,364 @ 85.7¢ — Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $452 @ 79¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $8,454 @ 99.5¢ — Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,347 @ 99.7¢ — Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,487 @ 79¢ — Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $1,700 @ 17¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $250 @ 15.7¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $361 @ 31.6¢ — Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $189 @ 29¢ — Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4,459 @ 98.9¢ — Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $153 @ 99.1¢ — Will Dana White attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $805 @ 99.1¢ — Will Wayne Rooney attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $6,078 @ 99.6¢ — Will Mohammed bin Salman attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $856 @ 94¢ — Will Jorge Jesus attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,938 @ 94¢ — Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $606 @ 94¢ — Will Luan Santana attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,207 @ 95¢ — Will Piers Morgan attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $608 @ 92.8¢ — Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $324 @ 94¢ — Will Nininho Vaz Maia attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $598 @ 93.5¢ — Will Piers Morgan attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,051 @ 98.5¢ — Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $383 @ 99.3¢ — Will Mohammed bin Salman attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,083 @ 98.9¢ — Will Dana White attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $943 @ 98.9¢ — Will Drake attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $194 @ 99.3¢ — Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by fire? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $685 @ 98.7¢ — Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 14? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $161 @ 99.9¢ — Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by a cactus? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $272 @ 99.8¢ — Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by the void? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $412 @ 99.4¢ — Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by a projectile? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $1,112 @ 99.5¢ — Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by the void? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $603 @ 97.8¢ — Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 14? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $2,010 @ 99.9¢ — Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 26? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $9,918 @ 99.8¢ — Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $77 @ 98¢ — Will Kai or Speed die to an Ender Dragon? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $30 @ 98.8¢ — Will Kai or Speed die to a creeper? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $46 @ 79¢ — Will Kai or Speed die to an Ender Dragon? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $200 @ 85.7¢ — Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 14? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,790 @ 69.9¢ — Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $275 @ 22.7¢ — Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 14? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $938 @ 58¢ — Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $3,040 @ 76¢ — Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $1,539 @ 41.7¢ — Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $523 @ 43¢ — Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,736 @ 43¢ — Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,480 @ 98.9¢ — Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $836 @ 59¢ — Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $5,314 @ 60¢ — Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD No $1,034 @ 69.8¢ — Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $4,800 @ 67¢ — Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $375 @ 75¢ — Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 16? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $3,447 @ 57.4¢ — Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $503 @ 62.5¢ — Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,103 @ 57.3¢ — Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $1,707 @ 74¢ — Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 16? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD Yes $173 @ 83¢ — Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $78 @ 80¢ — Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by lava? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $230 @ 85¢ — Will Kai or Speed die to a skeleton? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $60 @ 76.2¢ — Will Kai or Speed die to an enderman? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $73 @ 89.5¢ — Will Kai or Speed die to a zombie? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $82 @ 82¢ — Will Kai or Speed die to a creeper? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $1,943 @ 78¢ — Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,713 @ 70.9¢ — Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 16? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $2,026 @ 76¢ — Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $504 @ 31¢ — Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $448 @ 40.6¢ — Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $883 @ 40¢ — Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $241 @ 37.1¢ — Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $780 @ 68¢ — Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $43 @ 19.9¢ — Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $348 @ 17.9¢ — Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $1,681 @ 97.6¢ — Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,085 @ 99.3¢ — Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $302 @ 80¢ — Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $216 @ 98.3¢ — Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,006 @ 90¢ — Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 14? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $173 @ 17.5¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $440 @ 96.3¢ — Will Leonardo Bonucci attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,539 @ 98¢ — Will m0NESY attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,603 @ 98.5¢ — Will Mohammed bin Salman attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,173 @ 99.3¢ — Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $366 @ 56¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $5,600 @ 56¢ — Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗
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- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public; labels in quotes are inferred from trade patterns on the venue and nothing else.
- Receipts, not advice. A receipt records what a wallet did and what the market later paid. Nothing here says what to bet. Research, not advice.
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Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0x5188fa0e8a77e87bc6a58e6781fdfc4e165cc804 · ← All whale receipts