BOUGHT No $198 @ 86.3¢ — Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealized
Polymarket wallet · 0x7e30…1e50 · “Debosnys” on Polymarket · “generalist”
Wallet 0x7e30…1e50 — 846–64 on Polymarket
Wallet 0x7e30…1e50 is 846–64 on resolved Polymarket markets since 2026-02-02: 915 positions held to resolution, realized P&L +$80,349 as reported by Polymarket's data API, 1001 fills on record, each linked to its Polygon transaction. Unrealized P&L is shown separately. Graded 2026-09-29 21:17 UTC.
Watch in this browserProfile on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)
Record
How the record is counted
W and L count positions held to resolution: a win when the outcome held received the payout. Positions sold before resolution are exited early and are never wins or losses; a split payout is void. Research, not advice.
| Category | W | L | Void | Exited early | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All | 846 | 64 | 5 | 2109 | 47 |
| Other | 359 | 34 | 2 | 904 | 26 |
| Politics | 252 | 16 | 0 | 648 | 13 |
| Crypto | 148 | 7 | 0 | 320 | 3 |
| Economy | 39 | 3 | 0 | 97 | 4 |
| Weather | 28 | 2 | 0 | 64 | 0 |
| Tech | 9 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 1 |
| Sports | 7 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 0 |
| Culture | 4 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 0 |
+$80,349realized, as reported by Polymarket’s data API
Realized and unrealized
Realized and unrealized P&L are Polymarket's own figures for this wallet, read from its public data API and labelled as such. TapeXray computes neither, and unrealized never appears in a headline.
Unrealized on open positions: +$119 (venue figure, not counted above).
Receipts
How a receipt is graded
A fill is correct when the side it bought paid out at resolution (or the side it sold did not), incorrect otherwise, and open until the market resolves. A grade is a fact about one fill: not a profit, and not a recommendation.
1,001 fills on record since 2026-02-02; the newest 300 shown.
SOLD No $14,985 @ 99.9¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4,651 @ 99.7¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $47 @ 85¢ — Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $42 @ 84¢ — Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $8 @ 68¢ — Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $396 @ 99.1¢ — Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $16 @ 99.8¢ — Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $17,689 @ 86¢ — Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $271 @ 99.4¢ — Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $354 @ 20¢ — Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $178 @ 89¢ — Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $112 @ 99.8¢ — Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $24,000 @ 99.1¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD No $24,470 @ 99.8¢ — Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $31 @ 13.1¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $42 @ 13¢ — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,162 @ 96¢ — Israel closes its airspace by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $10 @ 99.8¢ — Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $333 @ 16¢ — Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $811 @ 99¢ — Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $18,198 @ 83¢ — Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $169 @ 99.7¢ — Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $800 @ 41¢ — Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $540 @ 99¢ — Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $3 @ 4.6¢ — Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $15 @ 4¢ — Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $145 @ 93¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $314 @ 78¢ — NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $5 @ 99.2¢ — Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5,756 @ 97.7¢ — Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $2,674 @ 99.2¢ — Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $8,837 @ 99.1¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $95 @ 99¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $96 @ 90¢ — US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $0 @ 4¢ — Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,280 @ 94¢ — Trump out as President before 2027?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $59 @ 89.6¢ — Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $39,274 @ 99¢ — Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $386 @ 84¢ — Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $19 @ 95¢ — Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $143 @ 92¢ — China x Japan military clash before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,864 @ 92¢ — China x Japan military clash before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $6 @ 99.9¢ — U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $62 @ 99.9¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $17 @ 56¢ — Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $27 @ 89¢ — Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5,549 @ 99.9¢ — Iran leadership change by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $498 @ 99.5¢ — U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $83 @ 99.5¢ — U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $511 @ 99.5¢ — U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $707 @ 35¢ — U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $27 @ 32.9¢ — U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $108 @ 90¢ — Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $463 @ 91.5¢ — Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $344 @ 38¢ — U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $2 @ 40.3¢ — U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2 @ 34¢ — U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $28 @ 96¢ — Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $23 @ 95.7¢ — Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $203 @ 60¢ — U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $85 @ 59.8¢ — U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $64 @ 60.9¢ — U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $968 @ 93¢ — Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $47 @ 93¢ — Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $28 @ 93¢ — Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $11,100 @ 99.9¢ — Iran leadership change by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $815 @ 99.9¢ — Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓disputedBOUGHT No $80 @ 99.9¢ — Will there be at least 2380 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $5 @ 97.4¢ — Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $36 @ 85¢ — Trump meets with Putin by September 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,860 @ 97.2¢ — Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $39 @ 98.6¢ — Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $170 @ 72¢ — Trump meets with Putin by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $18 @ 38¢ — Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $1,334 @ 98.8¢ — Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $145 @ 72¢ — Will Trump and Putin not meet? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $40 @ 85¢ — Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2 @ 3.7¢ — Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,233 @ 99.9¢ — Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓disputedBOUGHT No $100 @ 99.8¢ — Iran leadership change by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $100 @ 99.8¢ — Iran leadership change by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $8 @ 3.7¢ — Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5,479 @ 99.8¢ — Iran leadership change by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $122 @ 99.9¢ — Will MrBeast hit 135.5 billion views by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $1,338 @ 92¢ — China x Japan military clash before 2027? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,301 @ 76¢ — Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $462 @ 89.7¢ — U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,620 @ 89.4¢ — U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $450 @ 90¢ — U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,045 @ 93.7¢ — U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $6,122 @ 93.8¢ — U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $818 @ 93¢ — U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $52 @ 93.7¢ — U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $83 @ 95.1¢ — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $7,780 @ 99.8¢ — Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $545 @ 99.2¢ — Will MrBeast hit 512 million subscribers by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $30 @ 99¢ — Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $68 @ 97.4¢ — Will MrBeast hit 510 million subscribers by July 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5 @ 99.9¢ — Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $26 @ 99.9¢ — Russia-Ukraine peace talks by June 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $516 @ 78¢ — Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $39 @ 98.3¢ — Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by June 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $20 @ 99¢ — Will Donald Trump publicly insult Alex Jones by June 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $101 @ 99.8¢ — Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by June 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,348 @ 99.9¢ — U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $68 @ 99.5¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓disputedBOUGHT Yes $11,152 @ 99.5¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $175 @ 99.8¢ — US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓disputedSOLD Yes $35,541 @ 99.3¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $12,251 @ 99.2¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $671 @ 97.6¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,522 @ 99.6¢ — US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓disputedSOLD Yes $0 @ 97.1¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $194 @ 96.5¢ — US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $392 @ 93.3¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $271 @ 93.3¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $339 @ 96.9¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓disputedBOUGHT Yes $136 @ 97¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $154 @ 92.7¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,438 @ 86.3¢ — US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓disputedBOUGHT Yes $1,765 @ 86.1¢ — US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓disputedBOUGHT Yes $486 @ 93¢ — US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $170 @ 85¢ — US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓disputedBOUGHT Yes $233 @ 93¢ — US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $266 @ 95¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,348 @ 89.3¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $124 @ 89.3¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $773 @ 89.3¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $661 @ 89.5¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $209 @ 89.4¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,110 @ 89.5¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,744 @ 89.7¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $81 @ 97.1¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $599 @ 97¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,870 @ 84.6¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $3,013 @ 84.6¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,902 @ 93¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $2,472 @ 82.4¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $242 @ 82.4¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,026 @ 93¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $8,103 @ 83.9¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $46 @ 99.6¢ — US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $2,328 @ 84.2¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $400 @ 97¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $264 @ 84.7¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $5,241 @ 99.7¢ — US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,464 @ 81¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $112 @ 97.5¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $111 @ 96.6¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $381 @ 81.4¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $5 @ 21.1¢ — Will Alireza Firouzja win Norway Chess 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD No $71 @ 73¢ — Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $72 @ 73¢ — Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $44 @ 74¢ — Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $16 @ 99¢ — Will MrBeast say "Strategy" during his next YouTube video? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $21 @ 98¢ — Will MrBeast say "Strategy" during his next YouTube video? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $63 @ 98.8¢ — Will MrBeast say "Lawsuit" during his next YouTube video? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $2,317 @ 99.2¢ — Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $164 @ 82¢ — Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $14,071 @ 99.8¢ — Epstein suicide note released by May 8? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $1,879 @ 99.1¢ — Epstein suicide note released by May 8? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,441 @ 84¢ — Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD Yes $5 @ 0.2¢ — Epstein suicide note released by May 8? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $63 @ 46¢ — Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $30,553 @ 99.7¢ — QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $11,014 @ 97.5¢ — Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $30 @ 99.3¢ — Will Trump talk to Ahmed al-Sharaa in April? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $43 @ 99.5¢ — Will Trump talk to Maria Corina Machado in April? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $100 @ 99.7¢ — Will Trump talk to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in April? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $691 @ 99.9¢ — Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $146 @ 99.8¢ — Will Trump talk to Pope Leo XIV in April? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $38 @ 99.2¢ — Will Trump talk to Ahmed al-Sharaa in April? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $82 @ 98.1¢ — Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $22 @ 99.3¢ — Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in April? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $158 @ 99.3¢ — Will Trump talk to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in April? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $51 @ 99.6¢ — Will Trump talk to Masoud Pezeshkian in April? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $23 @ 99.3¢ — Will Trump talk to Maria Corina Machado in April? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $274 @ 99.8¢ — Will Trump talk to Pope Leo XIV in April? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $131 @ 99.8¢ — Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $18 @ 99.7¢ — Will Trump talk to Reza Pahlavi in April? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $20 @ 99.6¢ — Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $7 @ 99.4¢ — Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $459 @ 98.8¢ — Critical Discord Incident by April 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $86 @ 98¢ — North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $55 @ 99.9¢ — Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $141 @ 99.9¢ — Will there be at least 1850 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $772 @ 99.9¢ — Will MrBeast hit 120 billion views by April 30? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $5 @ 99.9¢ — Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $79 @ 99.9¢ — Will MrBeast hit 121 billion views by April 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $83 @ 99.8¢ — Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $92 @ 99.8¢ — Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $107 @ 99.8¢ — Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $333 @ 99.9¢ — Will there be at least 2100 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $714 @ 99.9¢ — Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $332 @ 99.9¢ — Will there be at least 1850 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $321 @ 99.8¢ — Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $124 @ 99.8¢ — Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,189 @ 99.9¢ — Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $176 @ 99.8¢ — Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $669 @ 99.8¢ — Will there be at least 2100 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $1,397 @ 99.8¢ — US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓disputedSOLD No $1,252 @ 99.9¢ — Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $92,320 @ 99.8¢ — US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓disputedSOLD No $3,996 @ 99.9¢ — Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $96 @ 94.6¢ — Clavicular pregnancy in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $180 @ 94.9¢ — Clavicular pregnancy in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $6 @ 99.1¢ — Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $19 @ 99.2¢ — Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $11 @ 99.8¢ — Will MrBeast hit 120.5 billion views by April 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,597 @ 99.9¢ — Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $30 @ 99¢ — Will there be at least 1850 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD No $480 @ 5¢ — Will one person dissent the April Fed decision? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $9,963 @ 93.7¢ — Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $8,983 @ 92¢ — Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $5,315 @ 93.9¢ — Will one person dissent the April Fed decision? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $514 @ 94¢ — Will one person dissent the April Fed decision? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD No $288 @ 10¢ — Will one person dissent the April Fed decision? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD Yes $430 @ 7.1¢ — Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $2,275 @ 12¢ — Will one person dissent the April Fed decision? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $588 @ 90¢ — Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $0 @ 99¢ — Will three people dissent the April Fed decision? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $109 @ 96.6¢ — Will one person dissent the April Fed decision? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD Yes $565 @ 9.2¢ — Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD Yes $1 @ 10.1¢ — Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $98 @ 94.2¢ — Will one person dissent the April Fed decision? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $106 @ 73.2¢ — Will one person dissent the April Fed decision? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD Yes $49 @ 19¢ — Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $6,063 @ 94.6¢ — Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD Yes $50 @ 10¢ — Will one person dissent the April Fed decision? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $842 @ 75.7¢ — Will one person dissent the April Fed decision? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $1,018 @ 99.9¢ — Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $3,121 @ 98¢ — Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $1,011 @ 98.1¢ — Will one person dissent the April Fed decision? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $406 @ 99.8¢ — Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $5 @ 99¢ — Will three people dissent the April Fed decision? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $99 @ 99¢ — Will there be at least 1850 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $454 @ 90¢ — Clavicular pregnancy in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $999 @ 99.9¢ — Will Trump dance today? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗disputedSOLD Yes $999 @ 99.9¢ — Will Trump dance today? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗disputedSOLD Yes $500 @ 99.9¢ — Will Trump dance today? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗disputedSOLD Yes $9,980 @ 99.8¢ — Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗disputedSOLD No $1,996 @ 99.8¢ — Will Trump visit China by April 30? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $1,105 @ 40¢ — Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓disputedBOUGHT Yes $1,682 @ 39¢ — Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓disputedBOUGHT Yes $255 @ 37¢ — Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓disputedBOUGHT Yes $204 @ 37¢ — Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓disputedBOUGHT Yes $693 @ 98.6¢ — Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $106 @ 96.1¢ — Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $35 @ 99¢ — Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $99 @ 99.1¢ — Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $17 @ 98.9¢ — Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $40 @ 98.9¢ — Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,495 @ 97.9¢ — Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $10 @ 98.7¢ — Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $10 @ 98.7¢ — Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $10 @ 97.5¢ — Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $809 @ 97.7¢ — Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $213 @ 96.5¢ — Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $418 @ 98.3¢ — Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,578 @ 98.3¢ — Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $20 @ 95.4¢ — Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $155 @ 98¢ — Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $139 @ 99.5¢ — Will there be at least 2100 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $1,249 @ 99.7¢ — Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $27 @ 99.1¢ — Will there be at least 1850 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $2,616 @ 98¢ — Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $17 @ 98.9¢ — Will there be at least 1850 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $274 @ 98.7¢ — Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5 @ 99¢ — Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5 @ 99¢ — Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $20 @ 97.9¢ — Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5 @ 99¢ — Will MrBeast hit 121 billion views by April 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,036 @ 99.8¢ — Will MrBeast hit 119 billion views by April 30? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD Yes $200 @ 99.8¢ — Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $87 @ 99.2¢ — Will MrBeast hit 119 billion views by April 30? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $27 @ 99.2¢ — Will MrBeast hit 119 billion views by April 30? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $138 @ 99.1¢ — Will MrBeast hit 119 billion views by April 30? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $22 @ 94.3¢ — Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $499 @ 99.7¢ — New "Stranger Things" episode released by April 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,958 @ 99.7¢ — Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $21 @ 0.1¢ — Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗disputedBOUGHT No $6 @ 0.1¢ — Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗disputedBOUGHT No $28 @ 0.1¢ — Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $3,996 @ 99.9¢ — Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,220 @ 99.9¢ — Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $8 @ 99.6¢ — Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $178 @ 86.8¢ — Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $99,900 @ 99.9¢ — Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5,988 @ 99.8¢ — Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4,870 @ 98.5¢ — Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $509 @ 92.8¢ — Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $103 @ 5.1¢ — Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $23,544 @ 98.9¢ — Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,767 @ 98.8¢ — Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $83 @ 82.5¢ — Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $11 @ 77.5¢ — Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $726 @ 99.9¢ — Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $150 @ 99.9¢ — Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $15 @ 99.8¢ — Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealized
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- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public; labels in quotes are inferred from trade patterns on the venue and nothing else.
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Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0x7e30c3a56d89edac738d788dd218a9e64fb91e50 · ← All whale receipts