BOUGHT Yes $8,680 @ 62¢ — 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Polymarket wallet · 0xa52b…9480 · “Hashbrown” on Polymarket · “generalist”
Wallet 0xa52b…9480 — 339–13 on Polymarket
Wallet 0xa52b…9480 is 339–13 on resolved Polymarket markets since 2025-07-14: 352 positions held to resolution, realized P&L +$143,861 as reported by Polymarket's data API, 1000 fills on record, each linked to its Polygon transaction. Unrealized P&L is shown separately. Graded 2026-09-29 21:17 UTC.
Record
How the record is counted
| Category | W | L | Void | Exited early | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All | 339 | 13 | 0 | 733 | 9 |
| Crypto | 129 | 2 | 0 | 248 | 0 |
| Sports | 94 | 5 | 0 | 190 | 0 |
| Other | 87 | 3 | 0 | 206 | 1 |
| Politics | 13 | 3 | 0 | 36 | 8 |
| Economy | 12 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 0 |
| Tech | 4 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 0 |
| Culture | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Realized and unrealized
Unrealized on open positions: +$456 (venue figure, not counted above).
Receipts
How a receipt is graded
1,000 fills on record since 2025-07-14; the newest 300 shown.
- open — unrealized
BOUGHT Yes $16,330 @ 71¢ — Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $7 @ 74¢ — Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $65 @ 65¢ — Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $39 @ 78¢ — Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $33 @ 66¢ — Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $36 @ 71¢ — Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $386 @ 88¢ — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $3,261 @ 88.5¢ — Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $41,664 @ 98¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $268 @ 69¢ — Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,200? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $55,163 @ 96.8¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,917 @ 92¢ — Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $3,369 @ 99.1¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $41,850 @ 90¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $41,908 @ 98.7¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $6,750 @ 90¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $6,422 @ 98.8¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $18,900 @ 90¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $18,772 @ 98.8¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $18,920 @ 88¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
open — unrealizedSOLD No $159,843 @ 99.9¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $19,463 @ 98.3¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,992 @ 88¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $2,433 @ 97.3¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,340 @ 78¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $157,751 @ 98.6¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $6,616 @ 93¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $358 @ 92.9¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $14,832 @ 92.7¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $9,016 @ 92.6¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $5,534 @ 91.5¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $9,400 @ 94¢ — Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $8,580 @ 42.9¢ — Will England win on 2026-07-18? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $38,624 @ 94.2¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $225 @ 90¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $9 @ 89¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,352 @ 94.4¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $30 @ 46¢ — Fed rate hike in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,287 @ 93.7¢ — Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,028 @ 57.1¢ — Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $999 @ 55.5¢ — Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $33,371 @ 32.7¢ — Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $5,866 @ 5.8¢ — Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $61 @ 5.6¢ — Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $2,826 @ 2.8¢ — Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD Yes $15,050 @ 15¢ — Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD Yes $18,860 @ 18.5¢ — Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $13,156 @ 84¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $3,343 @ 3.3¢ — Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $752 @ 9.4¢ — Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,332 @ 5.8¢ — Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,841 @ 5.7¢ — Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,481 @ 1.5¢ — Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $4,472 @ 8.9¢ — Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Belgium $9,406 @ 94¢ — United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Belgium $1,358 @ 95¢ — United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Belgium $7,845 @ 95¢ — United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,967 @ 96¢ — Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Spain $3,903 @ 96¢ — Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance (opens in a new tab)
resolved Spain correct ✓SOLD Yes $288 @ 0.29¢ — Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $6,364 @ 96¢ — Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $1 @ 95¢ — Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $2,616 @ 10.9¢ — Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $2,543 @ 10.9¢ — Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $1,149 @ 11¢ — Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $15 @ 11¢ — Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Norway $13,203 @ 99¢ — Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,000 @ 93¢ — Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD Yes $2,023 @ 2¢ — Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT France $7,325 @ 99¢ — Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance (opens in a new tab)
resolved France correct ✓BOUGHT France $7,991 @ 98.4¢ — Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance (opens in a new tab)
resolved France correct ✓BOUGHT No $648 @ 99.6¢ — Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $2,372 @ 2.3¢ — Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $24,750 @ 99¢ — Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $8,465 @ 97¢ — Will Canada win on 2026-07-04? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $6,216 @ 95¢ — Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Argentina $21,390 @ 93¢ — Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance (opens in a new tab)
resolved Argentina correct ✓BOUGHT No $12,064 @ 97.8¢ — Will Australia win on 2026-07-03? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $10,522 @ 82¢ — Will Australia win on 2026-07-03? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Switzerland $687 @ 99¢ — Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advance (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Switzerland $611 @ 99¢ — Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advance (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $14,510 @ 95¢ — Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $20,614 @ 98.8¢ — Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $7,071 @ 98.5¢ — Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT United States $34,484 @ 99¢ — United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT United States $1,593 @ 98¢ — United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,908 @ 99.3¢ — Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $32,196 @ 96.8¢ — Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,677 @ 96¢ — Will England win on 2026-07-01? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $83 @ 3.6¢ — Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD Yes $344 @ 3.5¢ — Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD Yes $485 @ 4¢ — Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD Yes $365 @ 4.2¢ — Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT France $98 @ 99¢ — France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,982 @ 99.4¢ — Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $231 @ 99.2¢ — Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $11,760 @ 98¢ — Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,000 @ 95.3¢ — Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $158 @ 0.2¢ — Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $4,192 @ 98¢ — Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $1,900 @ 95¢ — Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $29,400 @ 98¢ — Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Canada $412 @ 98¢ — South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advance (opens in a new tab)
resolved Canada correct ✓BOUGHT Canada $1,299 @ 98¢ — South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advance (opens in a new tab)
resolved Canada correct ✓BOUGHT Canada $1,227 @ 97¢ — South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advance (opens in a new tab)
resolved Canada correct ✓BOUGHT No $1,227 @ 97¢ — Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $4,413 @ 99.4¢ — Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $6,112 @ 99.4¢ — Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $866 @ 99¢ — Will England win on 2026-06-27? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $6,854 @ 98.9¢ — Will Panama win on 2026-06-27? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,214 @ 93¢ — Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $215 @ 93¢ — Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $9,425 @ 74.3¢ — Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,720 @ 99.7¢ — Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $10,000 @ 97¢ — Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $66 @ 98.5¢ — Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $2,050 @ 82¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $8,200 @ 82¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,167 @ 98.6¢ — Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,605 @ 99.4¢ — Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $23,178 @ 98.5¢ — Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-25? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $29,645 @ 98.7¢ — Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $967 @ 23.1¢ — Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $3,760 @ 90¢ — Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $14,781 @ 98.5¢ — Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $17,216 @ 98¢ — Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $19,032 @ 99.1¢ — Will Canada win on 2026-06-24? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $19,800 @ 99¢ — Will Canada win on 2026-06-24? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $5,429 @ 98.7¢ — Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $1,537 @ 96.5¢ — Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,204 @ 86¢ — Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $975 @ 97.5¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $8,960 @ 99.8¢ — Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $104 @ 99¢ — Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $20,000 @ 97¢ — Will Panama win on 2026-06-23? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $9,813 @ 99.4¢ — Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,534 @ 99.3¢ — Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $3,143 @ 95¢ — Will France win on 2026-06-22? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $5 @ 97¢ — Will France win on 2026-06-22? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $9,869 @ 98¢ — Will Austria win on 2026-06-22? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $11,915 @ 94¢ — Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $6,663 @ 98.3¢ — Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $327 @ 97¢ — Will Austria win on 2026-06-22? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $16,631 @ 99¢ — Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $15,966 @ 99.4¢ — Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $2,000 @ 90¢ — Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $1,782 @ 98¢ — Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $24,973 @ 98.9¢ — Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $9,570 @ 95¢ — Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $206 @ 98¢ — Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $24,055 @ 99¢ — Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $4,895 @ 97.9¢ — Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $11,875 @ 99¢ — Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,203 @ 98.5¢ — Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,880 @ 94¢ — Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,956 @ 97.8¢ — Will United States win on 2026-06-19? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $1,958 @ 97.9¢ — Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,968 @ 99.2¢ — Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $3,926 @ 98.2¢ — Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $12,896 @ 99.2¢ — Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5,181 @ 94.8¢ — Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $11,877 @ 99¢ — Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $10,241 @ 98¢ — Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,880 @ 94¢ — Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5,126 @ 99.2¢ — Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $10 @ 99.1¢ — Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $9,900 @ 99¢ — Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD Yes $120 @ 6¢ — Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,724 @ 86.2¢ — Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $3,427 @ 97.9¢ — Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $12,458 @ 98.4¢ — Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $11,895 @ 99¢ — Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $8,824 @ 96.4¢ — Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,475 @ 99¢ — Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $9,897 @ 99¢ — Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,438 @ 98¢ — Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $5,000 @ 97.8¢ — Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,665 @ 93.3¢ — Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,543 @ 90.9¢ — Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $5,324 @ 97¢ — Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $790 @ 79¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $385 @ 77¢ — Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $400 @ 80¢ — Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $1,760 @ 88¢ — Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $2,369 @ 95.4¢ — Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,720 @ 93¢ — Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $13 @ 79¢ — Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $5,730 @ 81.9¢ — Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $5,768 @ 96.1¢ — Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,771 @ 81.8¢ — Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $4,431 @ 96.5¢ — Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $240 @ 80¢ — Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,074 @ 5.2¢ — Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $1,950 @ 97.5¢ — Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $4,108 @ 5.2¢ — Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $7,979 @ 7.9¢ — Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $8,484 @ 8.4¢ — Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $9,797 @ 9.7¢ — Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $10,706 @ 10.6¢ — Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $16,422 @ 16.1¢ — Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $17,136 @ 16.8¢ — Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $49,500 @ 99¢ — Will United States win on 2026-06-12? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD No $2,323 @ 94.1¢ — SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $34,694 @ 99¢ — SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $34,711 @ 99.3¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD Yes $436 @ 96.3¢ — GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $14,707 @ 94.8¢ — SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,247 @ 91¢ — SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $7,669 @ 95.9¢ — Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗BOUGHT No $15,439 @ 96.6¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD Yes $1,881 @ 94¢ — Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $705 @ 84¢ — Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $420 @ 84¢ — Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $2,352 @ 88¢ — Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD No $1,158 @ 91¢ — Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,039 @ 75.6¢ — Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,796 @ 90¢ — Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $3 @ 64¢ — Fed rate hike in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $41 @ 87¢ — Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD No $1,638 @ 91¢ — Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $2,047 @ 83.1¢ — Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $15,040 @ 94¢ — Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $83 @ 78¢ — Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT No $2,785 @ 94¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $761 @ 83.2¢ — Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $7,440 @ 93¢ — Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $181 @ 79¢ — Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $109 @ 78¢ — Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Royal Challengers Bengaluru $1,920 @ 96¢ — Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $19,980 @ 99.9¢ — Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $125 @ 82¢ — Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $4,906 @ 92¢ — Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $389 @ 85.9¢ — GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $252 @ 67.7¢ — Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $2,704 @ 88¢ — Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $259 @ 83.6¢ — Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $176 @ 83.3¢ — Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Gujarat Titans $4,210 @ 97¢ — Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals (opens in a new tab)
resolved Gujarat Titans correct ✓SOLD No $11,868 @ 98.9¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Gujarat Titans $1,152 @ 96¢ — Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals (opens in a new tab)
resolved Gujarat Titans correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $16,686 @ 99¢ — Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD No $11,940 @ 99.5¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $9,930 @ 99¢ — Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD No $9,930 @ 99.3¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Yes $214 @ 82.4¢ — Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $181 @ 78.1¢ — Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $28,981 @ 97.4¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD Yes $3,955 @ 97.5¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $18,073 @ 97.4¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $706 @ 97.5¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $4,291 @ 97.5¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $317 @ 75.1¢ — Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,055 @ 76¢ — Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Delhi Capitals $1,808 @ 88.9¢ — Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Delhi Capitals (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Punjab Kings $1,800 @ 90¢ — Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kings (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $23,382 @ 97.5¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $6,025 @ 97.6¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,718 @ 97.9¢ — Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓SOLD Yes $1,287 @ 97.5¢ — Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Gujarat Titans $1,800 @ 90¢ — Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings (opens in a new tab)
resolved Gujarat Titans correct ✓BOUGHT Kolkata Knight Riders $1,140 @ 96¢ — Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Kolkata Knight Riders $4,907 @ 96¢ — Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Kolkata Knight Riders $15,760 @ 96¢ — Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Kolkata Knight Riders $1,820 @ 91¢ — Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $631 @ 84.9¢ — Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $3,441 @ 97.9¢ — Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved Yes correct ✓BOUGHT Yes $182 @ 64.9¢ — Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Rajasthan Royals $20,090 @ 98¢ — Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $14,859 @ 98¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $4,741 @ 98¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Rajasthan Royals $14,558 @ 97¢ — Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Sunrisers Hyderabad $12,740 @ 98¢ — Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Sunrisers Hyderabad $1,780 @ 89¢ — Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Delhi Capitals $5,000 @ 96.5¢ — Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals (opens in a new tab)
resolved Delhi Capitals correct ✓SOLD Yes $9,790 @ 97.9¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Royal Challengers Bengaluru $2,444 @ 94¢ — Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $2,344 @ 98¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Royal Challengers Bengaluru $1,860 @ 93¢ — Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Yes $1,470 @ 98¢ — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $8,075 @ 95¢ — US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $6,517 @ 96.5¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $23,713 @ 96.8¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $9,500 @ 95¢ — US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD Kolkata Knight Riders $890 @ 89¢ — Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans (opens in a new tab)
resolved Kolkata Knight Riders incorrect ✗BOUGHT Kolkata Knight Riders $840 @ 84¢ — Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans (opens in a new tab)
resolved Kolkata Knight Riders correct ✓BOUGHT Lucknow Super Giants $11,724 @ 97.7¢ — Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedSOLD No $1,994 @ 99.7¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗SOLD No $9,970 @ 99.7¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Lucknow Super Giants $488 @ 97.6¢ — Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $303 @ 64¢ — Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $9,855 @ 98.7¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD No $9,890 @ 98.9¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No incorrect ✗BOUGHT Royal Challengers Bangalore $792 @ 99¢ — Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Riders (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT No $24 @ 99¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓BOUGHT No $27,518 @ 99¢ — US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
resolved No correct ✓SOLD No $59,820 @ 99.7¢ — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $1,183 @ 91¢ — Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $17 @ 84¢ — Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealizedBOUGHT Yes $235 @ 94¢ — Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)
open — unrealized
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- Wallets are pseudonymous. A wallet is its address. A name beside it is the handle its owner chose on Polymarket and set to public; labels in quotes are inferred from trade patterns on the venue and nothing else.
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Data: Polymarket data API, wallet 0xa52b785a5510117ac3ae03d75d029f89a36c9480 · ← All whale receipts